Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
AA Itarare in this Paulista A4 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AA Itarare.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
4%
6%
90%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: AA Itarare
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Guaruja haven't matched AA Itarare's recent run of results.
- AA Itarare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 12.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 67.8%
Guaruja Ohne Gegentor 20%
AA Itarare Ohne Gegentor 14%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Guaruja | AA Itarare |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 32 |
| Siege | 4 | 13 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 11 |
| Niederlagen | 21 | 8 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Gegentore | 2.3 | 1.06 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.10 | 1.11 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
30. Juni 2018 Paulista A4
Guaruja vs AA Itarare
0:3
13. Mai 2018 Paulista A4
AA Itarare vs Guaruja
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Guaruja 10 / 100
AA Itarare 84 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Guaruja AA Itarare
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp AA Itarare Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
AA Itarare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
AA Itarare lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Guaruja scored in 37% of their last 30 games.
Tor-Trends
- VS AA Itarare
0 Erzielte Tore 1.13
0 Kassierte Tore 1
0% Über 1.5 75%
0% Über 2.5 25%
0% Über 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guaruja
(Home) 08 Jul
Elosport
3 : 0 Guaruja
30 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3 AA Itarare
23 Jun
Primavera EC
3 : 0 Guaruja
16 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3 Jabaquara
10 Jun
Maua FC
3 : 0 Guaruja
Page 1 of 6
30 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3 AA Itarare
16 Jun
Guaruja
0 : 3 Jabaquara
26 May
Guaruja
0 : 3 Mauaense
19 May
Guaruja
0 : 3 Elosport
05 May
Guaruja
0 : 3 Primavera EC
Page 1 of 3
AA Itarare
(Away) 20 Aug
Gremio Prudente
2 : 1 AA Itarare
14 Aug
AA Itarare
0 : 3 Gremio Prudente
06 Aug
SKA Brasil
1 : 2 AA Itarare
31 Jul
AA Itarare
0 : 1 Itapirense
24 Jul
AA Itarare
3 : 3 Catanduva FC
Page 1 of 7
20 Aug
Gremio Prudente
2 : 1 AA Itarare
06 Aug
SKA Brasil
1 : 2 AA Itarare
15 Jul
Catanduva FC
1 : 1 AA Itarare
09 Jul
Itapirense
0 : 2 AA Itarare
25 Jun
Vocem
0 : 1 AA Itarare
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Talentos 10 AC | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Santacruzense | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 3 | Vocem | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Osvaldo Cruz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Andradina Esporte Clube | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 6 | Tupa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Assisense | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:19 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio Prudente | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12:33 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter de Bebedouro | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 23:10 | 31 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | 28 |
| 3 | America SP | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Taquaritinga | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 6 | Fernandopolis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8:11 | 15 |
| 7 | Catanduva FC | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:20 | 13 |
| 8 | Catanduvense | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16:21 | 12 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comercial | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 34:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Francana | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30:7 | 28 |
| 3 | Itapirense | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Independente SP | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:9 | 25 |
| 5 | XV de Jau | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Brasilis | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 7 | Jaguariuna | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5:36 | 6 |
| 8 | Sao-Carlense | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6:30 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarulhos | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 23:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:7 | 28 |
| 3 | Paulista | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:8 | 27 |
| 4 | Flamengo SP | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 5 | Amparo SP | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 19 |
| 6 | Jacarei FC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 23:26 | 13 |
| 7 | Uniao Mogi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8:25 | 11 |
| 8 | Atletico Mogi | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3:46 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Primavera EC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:10 | 27 |
| 3 | AA Itarare | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 17:8 | 26 |
| 4 | Elosport | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:12 | 26 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Jabaquara | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 7 | Barcelona SP | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:22 | 11 |
| 8 | Guaruja | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3:37 | 2 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2018 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
