Sport Tipps
Hercilio Luz vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spielzusammenfassung
The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Hercilio Luz have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Barra FC (Santa Catarina) slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 29. Jan. 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.19) point toward Hercilio Luz. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Look at the last few games and Hercilio Luz come out ahead of Barra FC (Santa Catarina) on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Hercilio Luz's way, sitting at 60%.
- Hercilio Luz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Barra FC (Santa Catarina), who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Hercilio Luz | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 28 | 32 |
| Siege | 17 | 10 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 10 |
| Niederlagen | 7 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.82 | 1.06 |
| Gegentore | 1.04 | 1.03 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Hercilio Luz's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Hercilio Luz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hercilio Luz
(Home)Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |