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Home Farm vs Mervue United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Sa., 17. Okt. 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

Home Farm host Mervue United in the National League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Mervue United have shipped 1.35 goals a game lately, while Home Farm have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.36. Past meetings favor Home Farm slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 12. Sept. 2026, ending 1:6. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.56, favoring Mervue United. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Home Farm
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Mervue United
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Home Farm

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Mervue United come out ahead of Home Farm on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Home Farm's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 88%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 50.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 23%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 71%
Home Farm Ohne Gegentor 15%
Mervue United Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Home Farm Mervue United
Spiele 28 31
Siege 8 15
Unentschieden 6 4
Niederlagen 14 12
Erzielte Tore 1.36 1.39
Gegentore 1.5 1.35
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.13 1.56
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

12. Sept. 2026 National League
Mervue United vs Home Farm
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Home Farm 84 / 100
Mervue United 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Home Farm Mervue United

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Home Farm Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Home Farm has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Home Farm found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Mervue United has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Tor-Trends

Home Farm VS Mervue United
2.38 Erzielte Tore 1.63
1.5 Kassierte Tore 1.88
88% Über 1.5 88%
75% Über 2.5 50%
63% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Home Farm

(Home)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Home Farm
4 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Cockhill
0 : 2
Home Farm
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
Page 1 of 6

Mervue United

(Away)
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams