Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Hungary vs Portugal

World World

World Championship 2026 Puskas Arena, Budapest
Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

21' Event
Varga B.
Vorlage: Nagy Z.
36' Event
Silva B.
Vorlage: Cancelo J.
56'
Varga B.

Spielzusammenfassung

The World Championship 2026 game between Hungary and Portugal finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

31%
Hungary
40%
Unentschieden
29%
Portugal
Unentschieden-Quote: 40% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

66% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Portugal come out ahead of Hungary on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Portugal have taken 4 of them.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 71.4%
Hungary Ohne Gegentor 15%
Portugal Ohne Gegentor 11%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Hungary Portugal
Spiele 30 30
Siege 12 19
Unentschieden 8 6
Niederlagen 10 5
Erzielte Tore 1.33 2.1
Gegentore 1.47 0.9
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.25 1.56
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

14. Okt. 2025 World Championship
Portugal vs Hungary
2:2
9. Sept. 2025 World Championship
Hungary vs Portugal
2:3
15. Juni 2021 Euro
Hungary vs Portugal
0:3
3. Sept. 2017 World Championship
Hungary vs Portugal
0:1
25. März 2017 World Championship
Portugal vs Hungary
3:0

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen

Hungary Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Varga B.
2 Tore
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.96
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.63

Portugal Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Silva B.
1 Tore
Top-Vorlagengeber Cancelo J.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.42
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Hungary 31 / 100
Portugal 28 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Hungary Portugal

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hungary scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Portugal has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Hungary remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

Hungary VS Portugal
1.63 Erzielte Tore 2.25
0.88 Kassierte Tore 0.88
63% Über 1.5 75%
50% Über 2.5 50%
38% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hungary

(Home)
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1
Finland
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
16 Nov
Hungary
2 : 3
Ireland
Page 1 of 6

Portugal

(Away)
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
02 Jul
Portugal
2 : 1
Croatia
27 Jun
Colombia
0 : 0
Portugal
23 Jun
Portugal
5 : 0
Uzbekistan
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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