Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Ilves vs Differdange

Europe Europe

Conference League Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

21'
Bamba G.
45' Event
Thill S.
Vorlage: Rivas E.
46'
Wechsel
Bamba G. Rein: Pettersson O.
Raus: Bamba G.

Spielzusammenfassung

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

30%
Ilves
39%
Unentschieden
31%
Differdange
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

65% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Differdange carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Differdange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ilves, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 37.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73%
Ilves Ohne Gegentor 17%
Differdange Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Ilves Differdange
Spiele 27 29
Siege 12 15
Unentschieden 5 8
Niederlagen 10 6
Erzielte Tore 1.63 1.13
Gegentore 1.63 1.25
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.63 1.13
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

16. Juli 2026 Conference League
Ilves vs Differdange
3:1
8. Juli 2026 Conference League
Differdange vs Ilves
0:0

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen

Ilves Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Raap Y.
1 Tore
Top-Vorlagengeber Riski Ro.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.25
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.81

Differdange Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Thill S.
1 Tore
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.03
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Ilves 30 / 100
Differdange 30 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Ilves Differdange

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp ILV Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Ilves scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ilves remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Differdange let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Tor-Trends

Ilves VS Differdange
1.63 Erzielte Tore 1.13
1.63 Kassierte Tore 1.25
75% Über 1.5 75%
75% Über 2.5 50%
50% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves

(Home)
02 Aug
AC Oulu
1 : 0
Ilves
30 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Stjarnan
26 Jul
Ilves
1 : 0
Lahti
23 Jul
Stjarnan
1 : 0
Ilves
20 Jul
TPS
1 : 3
Ilves
Page 1 of 6

Differdange

(Away)
02 Aug
Mondorf
3 : 2
Differdange
16 Jul
Ilves
3 : 1
Differdange
08 Jul
Differdange
0 : 0
Ilves
04 Jul
Metz
1 : 2
Differdange
01 Jul
Differdange
2 : 0
Dudelange
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrocub Hincesti -
ML Vitebsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutjeska -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Drita -
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Bissen -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
HB Torshavn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
FK Sarajevo 2
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz -
TBD -
Mornar Bar 2
Atletic Escaldes 4
Debrecen -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
Pyunik Yerevan 4
Polissya Zhytomyr -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hegelmann 1
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Zira FK 6
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Penybont 0
FC Santa Coloma 4
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Alashkert 4
Yelimay Semey 3
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Mondorf 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 3
Petrovac 2
Zalgiris 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks -
TBD -
TBD -
Panathinaikos -
Spartak Trnava -
TBD -
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
TBD -
Caernarfon 0
Levadia 10
LNZ Cherkasy -
TBD -
TBD -
Gent -
Vllaznia 2
Malisheva 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
Bravo -
TBD -
Europa FC 0
Shkendija Tetovo 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann -
Dila Gori 3
Virtus 2
TBD -
Apollon Limassol -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
TBD -
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Zilina -
TBD -
TBD -
GKS Katowice -
Bohemians 2
St Josephs 0
Connahs Q. 2
FC Ballkani 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Vikingur 3
Stjarnan 5
Differdange 1
Ilves 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Glentoran 1
RFS 4
TBD -
Vestri -
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Zrinjski -
GAIS -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Aluminij -
TBD -
Dinamo City 4
FC Astana 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
AF Elbasani 1
BATE 2
TBD -
Sion -
Vojvodina -
TBD -
TBD -
Ajax -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
Kalju 3
Linfield 2
Zeleznicar Pancevo -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Din. Minsk 2
Sileks 1
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Decic 1
FK Liepaja 3
TBD -
Austria Vienna -
Twente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dun. Streda -
TBD -
Velez Mostar 2
Milsami 1
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan -
TBD -
UNA Strassen 3
La Fiorita 0
FK Panevezys -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobol -
Lugano -
TBD -
TBD -
Dukagjini -
NSI Runavik 3
Hamrun 2
TBD -
Koper -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 6
Petrocub Hincesti 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tre Fiori -
TBD -
Floriana 2
Drita 3
Flora 2
TNS 1
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vardar 4
Riga FC 8
Bissen 3
Gyor 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK 8
Coleraine 0
Motherwell 5
HB Torshavn 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Basaksehir 1
Inter Turku 3
Vaduz 6
Atletic Escaldes 0
Debrecen 1
Pyunik Yerevan 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
FC Copenhagen 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Zira FK 1
FC Santa Coloma 3
Rapid Vienna 9
Alashkert 1
CFR Cluj 4
TBD -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Dinamo Tbilisi 5
Zalgiris 7
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa 7
Valletta 1
TBD -
Hammarby -
Paks 3
Panathinaikos 4
Spartak Trnava 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IFK Goteborg 4
Levadia 3
LNZ Cherkasy 0
Gent 1
Malisheva 3
Hibernian 4
Bravo 3
Shkendija Tetovo 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj 3
Brann 5
Dila Gori 0
Apollon Limassol 7
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv 4
Ludogorets 2
Zilina 3
GKS Katowice 4
Bohemians 5
FC Ballkani 4
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka 2
Derry City 0
Stjarnan 2
Ilves 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Varazdin 3
Jablonec 4
RFS 5
Vestri 2
Valur 3
Zrinjski 2
GAIS 1
Nordsjaelland 6
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Gallen -
FCSB 3
FK Auda Riga 7
Aluminij 1
Dinamo City 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbru Chisinau 2
Noah 3
BATE 1
Sion 5
Vojvodina 2
Ajax 8
Shelbourne 6
Kalju 4
Zeleznicar Pancevo 0
Braga 5
Neftci Baku 3
Din. Minsk 4
AEK Larnaca 3
Beitar Jerusalem 4
FK Liepaja 1
Austria Vienna 5
Twente -
TBD -
Dun. Streda 4
Velez Mostar 0
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan 5
UNA Strassen 0
FK Panevezys 2
Tobol 3
Lugano 6
Dukagjini 1
NSI Runavik 4
Koper 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka -
ML Vitebsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tre Fiori -
Drita -
Flora -
Inter Escaldes -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Gyor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HJK -
Motherwell -
TBD -
Freiburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Inter Turku -
Vaduz -
Debrecen -
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Rapid Vienna -
CFR Cluj -
Tromso -
TBD -
Brighton -
Zalgiris -
Hajduk Split -
Rakow Czestochowa -
Hammarby -
Panathinaikos 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia 1
TBD -
TBD -
IFK Goteborg -
Gent -
Hibernian -
Shkendija Tetovo -
TBD -
TBD -
Brann 0
Apollon Limassol 1
Atalanta -
TBD -
Hapoel Tel Aviv -
GKS Katowice -
Bohemians -
Midtjylland -
Rijeka -
Ilves -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
RFS -
Valur -
Nordsjaelland -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
St. Gallen -
FK Auda Riga 1
Dinamo City 0
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
Sion -
Ajax -
Shelbourne -
Braga -
Din. Minsk -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Austria Vienna -
Twente -
Dun. Streda -
Dynamo Kyiv -
Qarabag Agdam -
Getafe -
TBD -
Partizan -
Tobol -
Lugano -
NSI Runavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Freiburg -
TBD -
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Getafe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -