Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This 2. Liga Women 2012/2013 encounter between Jablonec nad Nisou W and Krupka W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jablonec nad Nisou W averages 1.6 goals scored and 4.0 conceded in recent matches. Krupka W shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 5.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Jablonec nad Nisou W, 2 wins for Krupka W, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 28.03.15 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 3.63 for Jablonec nad Nisou W and 3.00 for Krupka W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jablonec nad Nisou W double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Jablonec nad Nisou W hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Krupka W.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (3.63 vs. 3.00 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 91%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Jablonec nad Nisou W | Krupka W |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 9 | 5 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 2 |
| Niederlagen | 17 | 23 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.6 | 1.77 |
| Gegentore | 4 | 5.5 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.50 | 1.38 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 4.63 | 4.75 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Jablonec nad Nisou W
Krupka W
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Jablonec nad Nisou W is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Krupka W will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Jablonec nad Nisou W's attacks.
Expect Jablonec nad Nisou W to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Jablonec nad Nisou W vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Krupka W, allowing Jablonec nad Nisou W's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Jablonec nad Nisou W, while Krupka W takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Jablonec nad Nisou W have found the net in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Krupka W have conceded at least one goal in 93% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.60 goals per match.
Jablonec nad Nisou W remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Krupka W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bohemians Prague W | 22 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 122:10 | 61 |
| 2 | Krupka W | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 113:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Liberec W | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 106:20 | 49 |
| 4 | Dukla Prague W | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 98:39 | 47 |
| 5 | FK Rakovnik W | 22 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 73:36 | 46 |
| 6 | Stara Lysa W | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 61:50 | 37 |
| 7 | Karlovy Vary W | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 48:56 | 29 |
| 8 | Pribram W | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 44:74 | 17 |
| 9 | Jablonec nad Nisou W | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 33:108 | 16 |
| 10 | Mlada Boleslav W | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 42:101 | 15 |
| 11 | Teplice W | 22 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 32:114 | 11 |
| 12 | Uragan W | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16:146 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olomouc W | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 57:18 | 48 |
| 2 | Lokomotiva Brno W | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 42:16 | 44 |
| 3 | Hodonin W | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43:32 | 36 |
| 4 | Bruntal W | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 31:48 | 17 |
| 5 | Holesovske holky W | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 22:54 | 14 |
| 6 | Jihlava W | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 26:53 | 13 |