Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Veikkausliiga encounter between Jaro and Mariehamn promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Jaro averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded in recent matches. Mariehamn shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Jaro, 1 wins for Mariehamn, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 23.05.26 ended in a 3:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.38 for Jaro and 2.00 for Mariehamn, suggesting the primary value lies in the Jaro double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Jaro hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Mariehamn.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.38 vs. 2.00 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Jaro | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 28 |
| Siege | 9 | 7 |
| Unentschieden | 6 | 9 |
| Niederlagen | 14 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.45 | 1.14 |
| Gegentore | 2.1 | 1.36 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 3.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Jaro
Mariehamn
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Jaro Vergleich
Mariehamn Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Jaro have found the net in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Mariehamn have conceded at least one goal in 82% of their last 28 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.40 goals per match.
Jaro remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Mariehamn suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 30 |
| 3 | AC Oulu | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 4 | HJK | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | 22 |
| 5 | VPS | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 7 | TPS | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 8 | Ilves | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 24:27 | 16 |
| 9 | Lahti | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:15 | 13 |
| 10 | SJK | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 11 | Jaro | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13:31 | 8 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6:25 | 4 |