Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2014/2015. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Jogeva have averaged 2.05 scored and 2.82 conceded recently, against Lasnamae's 0.9 scored and 3.35 conceded. Past meetings favor Jogeva slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 15. Juli 2014, ending 0:0. xG projections (3.01 - 1.95) back Jogeva to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Jogeva
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Jogeva come out ahead of Lasnamae on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Jogeva taking it.
- Jogeva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 82%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 90%
Über 2.5 Tore 82%
Über 3.5 Tore 61.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 28%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 71.8%
Jogeva Ohne Gegentor 10%
Lasnamae Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Jogeva | Lasnamae |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 22 | 31 |
| Siege | 8 | 4 |
| Unentschieden | 1 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 13 | 23 |
| Erzielte Tore | 2.05 | 0.9 |
| Gegentore | 2.82 | 3.35 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 3.01 | 1.95 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
15. Juli 2014 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Lasnamae
0:0
5. Juli 2014 Estonian Cup
Jogeva vs Lasnamae
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Jogeva 83 / 100
Lasnamae 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Jogeva Lasnamae
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Jogeva Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Jogeva's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Lasnamae has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Lasnamae registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.
Tor-Trends
Jogeva VS Lasnamae
1.4 Erzielte Tore 0.5
3.4 Kassierte Tore 4.63
80% Über 1.5 100%
80% Über 2.5 88%
60% Über 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Jogeva
(Home) 10 Jul
Nomme Utd
: Jogeva
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
25 Sept
Narva
8 : 0 Jogeva
23 Aug
Tallinn Piraaja
3 : 4 Jogeva
Page 1 of 5
12 Aug
Jogeva
1 : 2 FC Hell Hunt
27 Jun
Jogeva
2 : 4 Otepaa
18 Jul
Jogeva
7 : 3 Otepaa
21 Jun
Jogeva
4 : 1 Imavere Forss
29 Jul
Jogeva
1 : 4 Metropool Parnu
Page 1 of 3
Lasnamae
(Away) 11 Nov
Lasnamae
2 : 5 Voru Helios
03 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
4 : 1 Lasnamae
27 Oct
Lasnamae
1 : 7 Tammeka Tartu II
20 Oct
Lasnamae
0 : 0 Vandra Vaprus
13 Oct
Parnu
6 : 0 Lasnamae
Page 1 of 7
03 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
4 : 1 Lasnamae
13 Oct
Parnu
6 : 0 Lasnamae
07 Oct
Flora U19
1 : 2 Lasnamae
29 Sept
FC Alliance
2 : 0 Lasnamae
02 Sept
Voru Helios
6 : 2 Lasnamae
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Santos Tartu 4
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
Narva United 2
Rada Kuusalu 9
Tartu Ulikool 0
SK EPMU Tartu 2
Tammeka Tartu 5
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tapa -
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 5
Lootos FCR 2
Virtsu 1
Igiliikur 5
Retro 5
Tallinn Piraaja 1
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Rapla -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
FC Tartu 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Jalgpallihaigla 2
Kadakas 0
Kaitseliit 2
Nomme Utd 10
Anija 0
Lelle 1
Ulikool Tallinn 5
FCI Tallinn II 7
Paidelona 0
TBD -
Elva -
Otepaa -
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Metropool Parnu 9
Haiba 0
Fellin 1
Raasiku Valla 2
Ulikool Tallinn II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Ararat -
Kivioli Irbis -
TBD -
Loo JK 1
Saku Sporting 3
Reaal -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
SK Taaksi 2
Keila JK 12
Somnium 1
TBD -
Puuma -
Tartu Tehased 4
Twister Tallinn 1
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 7
Tulevik 0
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Kose -
Levadia -
TBD -
Aseri Askele 1
Tallinna Kalev II 6
Imavere Forss 6
Helios 1
Eston Villa 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
FCI Tallinn 16
JK Poseidon 0
Viimsi Ehitus 2
Raasiku Joker 8
Soccernet -
TBD -
Pirita 0
Voru 1
Tallinna Dnipro -
Vutihoolikud -
Shnelli 0
Maardu United 8
Viimsi MRJK 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Narva 1
Sillamae Kalev 3
Johvi Phoenix -
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
Tartu Taara 0
Vandra Vaprus 8
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Raudne Rusikas 2
Tallinna Kalev III 3
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Tallinna Kalev 4
Maardu Linnameeskond 8
Tallinna Depoo 3
Olympic Tallinn 0
Viimsi JK 5
Torva JK 6
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Ganvix Turi 11
Kuressaare 7
Vaatsa Vald 0
Oismae Torm 1
Merkuur Tartu 10
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
1/32-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Narva United 1
Rada Kuusalu 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Flora U19 4
Tapa 0
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Igiliikur 2
Retro 9
Valga Warrior 2
Rapla 1
FC Tartu 8
Tabasalu 3
Kaitseliit 0
Nomme Utd 2
Ulikool Tallinn 9
FCI Tallinn II 3
Elva 2
Otepaa 0
Rakvere 2
Metropool Parnu 3
Raasiku Valla 1
Ulikool Tallinn II 0
FC Ararat 5
Kivioli Irbis 15
Saku Sporting 0
Reaal 2
SK Taaksi 4
Keila JK 2
Puuma 1
Tartu Tehased 0
Paide Linnameeskond 17
Flora 5
JK Visadus 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kose 1
Levadia 19
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Imavere Forss 1
Saue JK Laagri 3
FCI Tallinn 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Soccernet 2
Voru 5
Tallinna Dnipro 2
Maardu United 0
Viimsi MRJK 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Johvi Phoenix 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
IAFA Estonia -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Jogeva -
Lasnamae -
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Viimsi JK 1
Torva JK 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Kuressaare 4
Merkuur Tartu 0
Ambla 0
Kalju 18
1/16-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Flora U19 2
Igiliikur 3
Retro 5
FC Tartu 2
Tabasalu 2
Ulikool Tallinn 11
FCI Tallinn II 2
Rakvere 1
Metropool Parnu 3
FC Ararat 4
Kivioli Irbis 7
SK Taaksi 3
Keila JK 0
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Flora 13
Kose 0
Levadia -
Saue JK Laagri -
FCI Tallinn 11
Voru 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 13
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Jogeva 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Ganvix Turi 1
Kuressaare 0
Kalju 4
1/8-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 9
Igiliikur 0
Retro 3
Ulikool Tallinn 4
FCI Tallinn II 3
FC Ararat 0
Kivioli Irbis -
Paide Linnameeskond -
Flora 11
Saue JK Laagri 0
FCI Tallinn 0
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 4
Quarter-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 5
Ulikool Tallinn 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Johvi Phoenix 3
Kalju 5
Semi-finals
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Flora 1
Kalju 2
Final
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kalju 2
