Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Kakanj enters this Prva Liga - FBiH 2020/2021 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 65%. Kakanj averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Zivinice shows a form average of 0.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Kakanj, 0 wins for Zivinice, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.05.21 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Kakanj and 0.88 for Zivinice, suggesting the primary value lies in the Kakanj double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Kakanj hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Zivinice.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.97 vs. 0.88 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Kakanj | Zivinice |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 34 | 30 |
| Siege | 10 | 1 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 15 | 24 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.09 | 0.57 |
| Gegentore | 1.21 | 2.8 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Kakanj
Zivinice
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Kakanj is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Zivinice will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Kakanj's attacks.
Expect Kakanj to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Kakanj vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Zivinice, allowing Kakanj's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Kakanj, while Zivinice takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Kakanj have found the net in 68% of their last 34 matches.
Zivinice have conceded at least one goal in 97% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.40 goals per match.
Kakanj remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Zivinice suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Posusje | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49:15 | 61 |
| 2 | TOSK Tesanj | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 48:28 | 54 |
| 3 | Kakanj | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43:31 | 50 |
| 4 | Gorazde | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 5 | Gradacac | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44:31 | 48 |
| 6 | Bratstvo Gracanica | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43:30 | 48 |
| 7 | NK GOSK Gabela | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38:27 | 43 |
| 8 | Jedinstvo Bihac | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 26:36 | 43 |
| 9 | Hadzici | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 32:36 | 40 |
| 10 | Banovici | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 38:49 | 40 |
| 11 | BFK Simm Bau | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 42:37 | 39 |
| 12 | Travnik | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:37 | 39 |
| 13 | Igman Konjic | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38:35 | 37 |
| 14 | HNK Orasje | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 43:51 | 36 |
| 15 | Capljina | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 38:49 | 36 |
| 16 | Zivinice | 30 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 17:84 | 8 |