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Karnobat vs Lok. Plovdiv II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2024/2025
Sa., 15. Feb. 2025
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

Karnobat host Lok. Plovdiv II in the Third League - South-East 2024/2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Karnobat have averaged 0.23 scored and 3.23 conceded recently, against Lok. Plovdiv II's 1.24 scored and 1.44 conceded. Past meetings favor Lok. Plovdiv II slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 15. Feb. 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.54 xG vs 1.05) point toward Lok. Plovdiv II. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

4%
Karnobat
6%
Unentschieden
90%
Lok. Plovdiv II
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Lok. Plovdiv II

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Lok. Plovdiv II come out ahead of Karnobat on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lok. Plovdiv II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lok. Plovdiv II have taken 5 of them.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 6.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 3%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 63%
Karnobat Ohne Gegentor 20%
Lok. Plovdiv II Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Karnobat Lok. Plovdiv II
Spiele 30 34
Siege 1 10
Unentschieden 1 5
Niederlagen 28 19
Erzielte Tore 0.23 1.24
Gegentore 3.23 1.44
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.54 1.05
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

15. Feb. 2025 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Lok. Plovdiv II
0:3
4. Aug. 2024 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Karnobat
3:1
17. Apr. 2024 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Karnobat
3:0
8. Okt. 2023 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Lok. Plovdiv II
1:2
3. Juni 2023 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Karnobat
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Karnobat 10 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv II 83 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Karnobat Lok. Plovdiv II

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Lok. Plovdiv II Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Lok. Plovdiv II let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Karnobat found the back of the net in 20% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Lok. Plovdiv II has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

- VS Lok. Plovdiv II
0 Erzielte Tore 1
0 Kassierte Tore 1.88
0% Über 1.5 75%
0% Über 2.5 63%
0% Über 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karnobat

(Home)
31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0
Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0
Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Spartak Plovdiv
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Lok. Plovdiv II

(Away)
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2
Botev II
29 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
22 Aug
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv II
15 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
09 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 3
Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets 1919 38 35 1 2 131:18 106
2 Spartak Plovdiv 38 29 3 6 105:29 90
3 Yambol 1915 38 24 7 7 66:37 79
4 Maritsa Plovdiv 38 24 6 8 70:37 78
5 Zagorets 38 20 6 12 60:37 66
6 Rozova Dolina 38 18 10 10 54:40 64
7 Gigant Saedinenie 38 18 7 13 53:39 61
8 Maritsa Milevo 38 16 11 11 47:47 59
9 FK Svilengrad 2022 38 15 5 18 73:77 50
10 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 15 4 19 58:60 49
11 OFC Haskovo 38 14 6 18 42:63 48
12 Atletik Kuklen 38 13 8 17 48:67 47
13 Sozopol 38 13 7 18 45:53 46
14 Sekirovo Rakovski 38 11 9 18 50:59 42
15 Dimitrovgrad 38 11 9 18 47:49 42
16 Rodopa Smolyan 38 11 7 20 53:69 40
17 Levski Karlovo 38 11 7 20 44:71 40
18 Asenovets 38 10 7 21 38:95 37
19 Botev Plovdiv III 38 7 7 24 45:67 28
20 Karnobat 38 1 1 36 13:128 4
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)