Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
KF Gostivar in this 2. MFL 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored KF Gostivar.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
4%
6%
90%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Vellazerimi
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to KF Gostivar lately — more wins on the board than Vellazerimi.
- Model gives Vellazerimi a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular 2. MFL 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 6.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 3%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 65%
KF Gostivar Ohne Gegentor 15%
Vellazerimi Ohne Gegentor 20%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | KF Gostivar | Vellazerimi |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 33 | 28 |
| Siege | 14 | 7 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 6 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 15 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1 | 0.96 |
| Gegentore | 1.06 | 1.5 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.63 | 1.56 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
24. Apr. 2021 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Vellazerimi
1:1
12. Dez. 2020 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Vellazerimi
1:0
10. Okt. 2020 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs KF Gostivar
0:1
10. Nov. 2019 2. MFL
Vellazerimi vs KF Gostivar
1:1
7. Sept. 2019 2. MFL
KF Gostivar vs Vellazerimi
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
KF Gostivar 10 / 100
Vellazerimi 85 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
KF Gostivar Vellazerimi
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp VEL Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Vellazerimi let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Vellazerimi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
KF Gostivar scored in 58% of their last 33 games.
Tor-Trends
KF Gostivar VS Vellazerimi
0.75 Erzielte Tore 2.5
0.63 Kassierte Tore 0.5
25% Über 1.5 100%
25% Über 2.5 100%
13% Über 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
KF Gostivar
(Home) 18 May
Vardar
3 : 0 KF Gostivar
11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Shkendija Tetovo
07 May
Sileks
3 : 0 KF Gostivar
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Rabotnicki
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11 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Shkendija Tetovo
04 May
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Pelister
27 Apr
KF Gostivar
0 : 3 Rabotnicki
13 Apr
KF Gostivar
3 : 1 Shkupi
31 Mar
KF Gostivar
0 : 2 Voska Sport
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Vellazerimi
(Away) 23 Feb
Golemo Konjari
0 : 3 Vellazerimi
15 Feb
Vellazerimi
2 : 1 Shkendija Haracine
20 Sept
Vellazerimi
0 : 4 Pelister
08 Sept
Besa 1976
4 : 0 Vellazerimi
25 Mar
Vellazerimi
2 : 3 Besa 1976
Page 1 of 6
23 Feb
Golemo Konjari
0 : 3 Vellazerimi
08 Sept
Besa 1976
4 : 0 Vellazerimi
08 May
Veleshta
2 : 1 Vellazerimi
24 Apr
KF Gostivar
1 : 1 Vellazerimi
10 Apr
Ohrid
2 : 1 Vellazerimi
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bregalnica Stip | 27 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 73:18 | 73 |
| 2 | Tikves | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 59:23 | 61 |
| 3 | FK Pehchevo | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 42 |
| 4 | Sloga Vinica | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | 36 |
| 5 | Kozuf Gevgelija | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:35 | 36 |
| 6 | Kamenica Sasa | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 35:32 | 35 |
| 7 | Osogovo | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32:43 | 29 |
| 8 | Pobeda | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30:35 | 27 |
| 9 | Plackovica | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20:42 | 21 |
| 10 | Rosoman 83 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 26:83 | 9 |
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Skopje | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 50:20 | 60 |
| 2 | Ohrid | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 26:13 | 46 |
| 3 | Veleshta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 32:23 | 46 |
| 4 | KF Gostivar | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 43 |
| 5 | FK Korab | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 28:27 | 36 |
| 6 | Kadino Skopje | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 7 | Vellazerimi | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 8 | Teteks | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 19:34 | 27 |
| 9 | Drita | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | 21 |
| 10 | Vardari Forino | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15:35 | 10 |
Promotion - 1. MFL 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2020/2021 (Relegation)
