Sport Tipps
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
Spielzusammenfassung
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Kostinbrod and Kyustendil finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kostinbrod.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
50%
28%
22%
Unentschieden-Quote: 28% Favorit: Kostinbrod
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
76%
/ Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Kostinbrod come out ahead of Kyustendil on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Kostinbrod's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- History favors Kostinbrod here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 19%
Über 4.5 Tore 9%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 71.8%
Kostinbrod Ohne Gegentor 17%
Kyustendil Ohne Gegentor 11%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Kostinbrod | Kyustendil |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 31 |
| Siege | 13 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 13 | 14 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Gegentore | 1.47 | 1.55 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
8. Aug. 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
3:1
25. Apr. 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
2:1
11. Okt. 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod
0:2
1. Juni 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
1:0
18. Nov. 2023 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Kostinbrod 48 / 100
Kyustendil 22 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Kostinbrod Kyustendil
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Kostinbrod Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Kostinbrod's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Kyustendil let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Away concern: Kyustendil has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
Kostinbrod VS Kyustendil
0.75 Erzielte Tore 0.88
1.88 Kassierte Tore 1.75
75% Über 1.5 63%
50% Über 2.5 50%
25% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kostinbrod
(Home) 08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
23 May
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Levski Sofia II
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
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08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
23 May
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Levski Sofia II
09 May
Kostinbrod
1 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
25 Apr
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Kyustendil
09 Apr
Kostinbrod
0 : 0 Oborishte Panagyurishte
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Kyustendil
(Away) 08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
23 May
Kyustendil
0 : 0 Slivnishki Geroy
17 May
Slavia Sofia 2
8 : 1 Kyustendil
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08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
17 May
Slavia Sofia 2
8 : 1 Kyustendil
25 Apr
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Kyustendil
09 Apr
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Kyustendil
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
