Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Leca vs Esmoriz

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2004/2005
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

This match ends 3-1, with Leca advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

31%
Leca
39%
Unentschieden
30%
Esmoriz
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

65% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Leca come out ahead of Esmoriz on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Leca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leca, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 19%
Über 4.5 Tore 9%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.8%
Leca Ohne Gegentor 20%
Esmoriz Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Leca Esmoriz
Spiele 29 30
Siege 15 9
Unentschieden 9 11
Niederlagen 5 10
Erzielte Tore 1.86 1.07
Gegentore 1.24 1.27
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.73 0.94
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

4. Okt. 2004 Taça de Portugal
Leca vs Esmoriz
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Leca 32 / 100
Esmoriz 29 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Leca Esmoriz

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Esmoriz Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Leca found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Esmoriz let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

Leca VS -
2.25 Erzielte Tore 0
0.88 Kassierte Tore 0
75% Über 1.5 0%
50% Über 2.5 0%
38% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leca

(Home)
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

Esmoriz

(Away)
24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0
Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1
Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Benfica -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras 1
Oriental 2
Anadia 3
FC Lixa 1
CD Torres Novas 1
AD Oliveirense 4
FC Pampilhosa 3
Penalva do Castelo 1
SB Castelo Branco 1
Fatima 2
Naval 3
Cerveira 0
TBD -
Sporting CP -
SC Espinho -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Almada -
Malveira -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Angrense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beira Mar -
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Imortal 1
Casa Pia 0
Famalicao 1
SC Pombal 2
Leca 3
Esmoriz 1
Aljustrelense 1
FC Canedo 3
Estrela Calheta 2
Infesta 0
Varzim 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Penafiel -
TBD -
SC Salgueiros 0
GD Os Nazarenos 1
UD Rio Maior 4
UC Idanhense 3
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Futebol Clube da Maia 1
Louletano 4
Lusitano VRSA 2
Feirense 2
Leixoes 4
Estoril -
TBD -
UD Ovarense 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista -
TBD -
Abrantes 0
Alverca 1
Oliveirense 4
Santana 2
FC Vialonga 1
SC Vianense 3
Leiria -
TBD -
Olivais e Moscavide 2
FC Madalena 5
Aves 4
Portimonense 1
TBD -
Nacional -
Academica -
TBD -
FC Souropires 1
Almancilense 3
Chaves 4
Amora 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Fiaes 2
Camacha 1
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
Real SC 4
Torreense 3
TBD -
Maritimo -
Braga -
TBD -
Olhanense 1
AD Lousada 2
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
Trofense 0
Odivelas FC 1
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Marco -
Sanjoanense 3
Dragoes Sandinenses 1
Juv. Evora 2
Oliveira Hospital 4
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Valdevez -
TBD -
Gondomar 1
Aliados Lordelo 2
Academico Viseu 2
Covilha 1
TBD -
Merelinense -
Pedras Rubras 2
U. Madeira 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
1/32-finals
Benfica 3
Oriental 1
Anadia 0
AD Oliveirense 1
FC Pampilhosa 2
Fatima 1
Naval 1
Sporting CP 3
SC Espinho 3
AC Almada 1
Malveira 1
Santa Clara 2
Pacos Ferreira 2
SC Angrense 1
TBD -
Beira Mar -
BSAD -
TBD -
Imortal 1
SC Pombal 2
Leca 1
FC Canedo 0
Estrela Calheta 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Penafiel 9
GD Os Nazarenos 0
UD Rio Maior 1
Futebol Clube da Maia 3
Louletano 2
Leixoes 1
Estoril 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 1
Alverca 0
Oliveirense 2
SC Vianense 4
Leiria 4
FC Madalena 3
Aves 1
Nacional 2
Academica 3
Almancilense 0
Chaves 0
Rio Ave 2
Fiaes 3
Sintrense 1
Real SC 0
Maritimo 5
Braga 2
AD Lousada 0
Gil Vicente 1
Odivelas FC 2
Moreirense 4
FC Marco 1
Sanjoanense 1
Oliveira Hospital 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
FC Porto 1
Valdevez 0
Aliados Lordelo 1
Academico Viseu 4
Merelinense 0
Pedras Rubras 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
1/16-finals
Benfica 4
AD Oliveirense 1
FC Pampilhosa 1
Sporting CP 4
SC Espinho 1
Santa Clara 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Beira Mar 2
BSAD 3
SC Pombal 0
Leca 0
Pinhalnovense 3
Penafiel 3
Futebol Clube da Maia 2
Louletano 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 3
SC Vianense 1
Leiria 1
Nacional 2
Academica 2
Rio Ave 0
Fiaes 1
Maritimo 4
Braga 2
Odivelas FC 1
Moreirense 1
Oliveira Hospital 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Aliados Lordelo 0
Academico Viseu 1
Vitoria Setubal 3
1/8-finals
Benfica 4
Sporting CP 3
SC Espinho 5
Beira Mar 6
BSAD 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Penafiel 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 4
Nacional 3
Academica 1
Maritimo 2
Braga 1
Oliveira Hospital 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 3
Quarter-finals
Benfica 1
Beira Mar 0
BSAD 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
Boavista 2
Maritimo 0
Braga 2
Vitoria Setubal 3
Semi-finals
Benfica 3
Estrela da Amadora 0
Boavista 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Final
Benfica 1
Vitoria Setubal 2