Sport Tipps
Spielereignisse
19'
19'
Nmecha L.
25'
25'
Ahmed A.
32'
32'
Longstaff S.
Vorlage: Gudmundsson G.
Spielzusammenfassung
Leeds in this FA Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Leeds
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Leeds average 1.54 goals a game right now, well clear of Norwich's 1.48.
- Model gives Leeds a 90% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Leeds, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 68.2%
Leeds Ohne Gegentor 20%
Norwich Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Leeds | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 28 | 27 |
| Siege | 14 | 14 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 7 | 8 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.54 | 1.48 |
| Gegentore | 1.07 | 0.96 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
8. März 2026 FA Cup
Leeds vs Norwich
3:0
22. Jan. 2025 Championship
Leeds vs Norwich
2:0
1. Okt. 2024 Championship
Norwich vs Leeds
1:1
16. Mai 2024 Championship
Leeds vs Norwich
4:0
12. Mai 2024 Championship
Norwich vs Leeds
0:0
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Leeds Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Longstaff S.
1 Tore Top-Vorlagengeber Gudmundsson G.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.11
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.72
Norwich Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.03
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Leeds 85 / 100
Norwich 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Leeds Norwich
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Leeds Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Attacking prowess: Leeds scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Leeds went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Difficult form: Norwich registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Leeds VS Norwich
1.88 Erzielte Tore 1.38
0.88 Kassierte Tore 1
63% Über 1.5 75%
50% Über 2.5 63%
38% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Leeds
(Home) 22 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 1 Leeds
15 Aug
Leeds
4 : 0 Augsburg
12 Aug
Manchester United
2 : 1 Leeds
08 Aug
Leeds
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Leeds
4 : 0 Augsburg
08 Aug
Leeds
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0 Brighton
01 May
Leeds
3 : 1 Burnley
18 Apr
Leeds
3 : 0 Wolves
Page 1 of 3
Norwich
(Away) 22 Aug
Millwall
3 : 0 Norwich
15 Aug
Norwich
1 : 2 West Brom
08 Aug
Norwich
4 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
04 Aug
Norwich
0 : 0 Cambridge Utd
01 Aug
Norwich
1 : 2 Osasuna
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Millwall
3 : 0 Norwich
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
22 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0 Norwich
17 Jul
St. Gallen
0 : 3 Norwich
02 May
Hull City
2 : 1 Norwich
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Wrexham -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
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Blackpool 1
Scunthorpe 0
Reading 2
Carlisle 3
Hull City -
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Blackburn -
Charlton -
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Chelsea -
Port Vale 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Bromley 1
Bristol Rovers 2
Fleetwood Town 2
Barnet 1
Luton 4
Forest Green 3
Bristol City -
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Watford -
Colchester 2
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 3
Northampton 1
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Oxford Utd -
Everton -
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Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Crawley Town 0
Newport 3
Gillingham 2
Brackley 3
Notts County 2
Burton 6
St. Albans 0
West Ham -
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QPR -
Slough Town 2
Altrincham 1
Macclesfield 6
AFC Totton 3
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Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
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Brentford -
Tranmere 1
Stockport County 3
Cambridge Utd 3
Chester 0
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Birmingham -
Derby -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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AFC Wimbledon 0
Gateshead 2
Eastleigh 0
Walsall 3
Swansea -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
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Halifax 0
Exeter 2
Wycombe 2
Plymouth 0
Salford 2
Lincoln City 1
Tamworth 0
Leyton Orient 1
Rotherham 1
Swindon 2
Bolton 2
Huddersfield 1
Grimsby 3
Ebbsfleet 1
Wealdstone 1
Southend 0
Chelmsford 4
Braintree 1
Weston-super-Mare 2
Aldershot 1
Wolves -
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Sutton 2
Telford 1
South Shields 1
Shrewsbury 3
Liverpool -
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Peterborough 1
Cardiff 0
Barnsley 3
York City 2
Manchester United -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Stevenage 0
Chesterfield 1
Crewe 1
Doncaster 2
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 1
Bradford City 0
Buxton 2
Chatham 1
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
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Gainsborough 1
Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Harrogate 2
Portsmouth -
TBD -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
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Wigan 2
Hemel Hempstead 1
Spennymoor 0
Barrow 2
1/64-finals
Wrexham -
TBD -
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Nottingham -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Blackpool 4
Carlisle 1
Hull City -
TBD -
TBD -
Blackburn -
Charlton -
TBD -
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Chelsea -
Port Vale 1
Bristol Rovers 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Luton 2
Bristol City -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford -
Milton Keynes Dons 3
Oldham 1
TBD -
Oxford Utd -
Everton -
TBD -
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Sunderland -
Boreham Wood 3
Newport 0
Brackley 1
Burton 3
West Ham -
TBD -
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QPR -
Slough Town 1
Macclesfield 3
TBD -
Crystal Palace -
Sheffield Wed -
TBD -
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Brentford -
Stockport County 0
Cambridge Utd 1
TBD -
Birmingham -
Derby -
TBD -
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Leeds -
Norwich -
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Gateshead 0
Walsall 2
Swansea -
TBD -
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West Brom -
Tottenham -
TBD -
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Aston Villa -
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
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Bournemouth -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Exeter 4
Wycombe 0
Salford 4
Leyton Orient 0
Swindon 4
Bolton 0
Grimsby 4
Wealdstone 0
Chelmsford 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves -
TBD -
Sutton 1
Shrewsbury 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
Peterborough 0
Barnsley 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
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Brighton -
Stoke City -
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Coventry -
Fulham -
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Middlesbrough -
Chesterfield 1
Doncaster 2
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Southampton -
Cheltenham 6
Buxton 2
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Leicester -
Burnley -
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Millwall -
Sheffield Utd -
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Accrington 2
Mansfield 3
Portsmouth -
TBD -
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Arsenal -
Preston -
TBD -
Wigan 3
Barrow 2
1/32-finals
Wrexham 4
Nottingham 3
Ipswich 2
Blackpool 1
Hull City 1
Blackburn 0
Charlton 1
Chelsea 5
Port Vale 1
Fleetwood Town 0
Bristol City 5
Watford 1
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Oxford Utd 2
Everton 1
Sunderland 2
Boreham Wood 0
Burton 5
West Ham 2
QPR 1
Macclesfield 2
Crystal Palace 1
Sheffield Wed 0
Brentford 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Birmingham 3
Derby 1
Leeds 3
Norwich 5
Walsall 1
Swansea 2
West Brom 3
Tottenham 1
Aston Villa 2
Newcastle Utd 4
Bournemouth 3
Manchester City 10
Exeter 1
Salford 3
Swindon 2
Grimsby 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wolves 6
Shrewsbury 1
Liverpool 4
Barnsley 1
Manchester United 1
Brighton 2
Stoke City 1
Coventry 0
Fulham 3
Middlesbrough 1
Doncaster 2
Southampton 3
Cheltenham 0
Leicester 2
Burnley 5
Millwall 1
Sheffield Utd 3
Mansfield 4
Portsmouth 1
Arsenal 4
Preston 0
Wigan 1
1/16-finals
Wrexham 1
Ipswich 0
Hull City 0
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Bristol City 0
Oxford Utd 0
Sunderland 1
Burton 0
West Ham 1
Macclesfield 0
Brentford 1
Birmingham 1
Leeds 2
Norwich 3
West Brom 1
Aston Villa 1
Newcastle Utd 3
Manchester City 2
Salford 0
Grimsby 0
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Brighton 0
Stoke City 1
Fulham 2
Southampton 2
Leicester 1
Burnley 1
Mansfield 2
Arsenal 4
Wigan 0
1/8-finals
Wrexham 2
Chelsea 4
Port Vale 1
Sunderland 0
West Ham 3
Brentford 2
Leeds 3
Norwich 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Wolves 1
Liverpool 3
Fulham 0
Southampton 1
Mansfield 1
Arsenal 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea 7
Port Vale 0
West Ham 2
Leeds 3
Manchester City 4
Liverpool 0
Southampton 2
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
Chelsea 1
Leeds 0
Manchester City 2
Southampton 1
Final
Chelsea 0
Manchester City 1
