Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Lentigione enters this Serie D - Group D fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 57%. Lentigione averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Tropical Coriano shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Lentigione, 0 wins for Tropical Coriano, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 25.01.26 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for Lentigione and 1.13 for Tropical Coriano, suggesting the primary value lies in the Lentigione double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Lentigione hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Tropical Coriano.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.25 vs. 1.13 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Lentigione | Tropical Coriano |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 18 | 6 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 8 |
| Niederlagen | 5 | 16 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.5 | 0.77 |
| Gegentore | 0.77 | 1.33 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Lentigione
Tropical Coriano
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Lentigione Vergleich
Tropical Coriano Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Lentigione is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Tropical Coriano will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Lentigione's attacks.
Expect Lentigione to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Lentigione vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Tropical Coriano, allowing Lentigione's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Lentigione, while Tropical Coriano takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Lentigione have found the net in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Tropical Coriano have conceded at least one goal in 80% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Lentigione remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Tropical Coriano suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |