Sport Tipps
Leones del Norte vs Aucas
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra 
Spielzusammenfassung
This Liga Pro encounter between Leones del Norte and Aucas promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Leones del Norte averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Aucas shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Leones del Norte, 2 wins for Aucas, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.04.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.25 for Leones del Norte and 1.19 for Aucas, suggesting the primary value lies in the Aucas double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Leones del Norte hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Aucas.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.25 vs. 1.19 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Leones del Norte | Aucas |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 28 |
| Siege | 9 | 14 |
| Unentschieden | 10 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 10 | 7 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1 | 1.5 |
| Gegentore | 1 | 0.96 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Leones del Norte Vergleich
Aucas Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Leones del Norte have found the net in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Aucas have conceded at least one goal in 57% of their last 28 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.
Leones del Norte remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Aucas suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 40 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 29 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 27 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 |
| 7 | Macara | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | 23 |
| 8 | Emelec | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | 23 |
| 9 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Tecnico U. | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 11 | Leones del Norte | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 |
| 14 | Delfin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Libertad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | 12 |