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Libya vs Nigeria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Martyrs of February Stadium, Benghazi
Libya Logo

Libya

Di., 15. Okt. 2024
0 - 3
07:00 PM
Nigeria Logo

Nigeria

Unser Tipp
Zusammenfassung Siegchance Tore Form H2H Taktik Spieler Indizes Vorhersagen Spielverlauf Genauigkeit Vergleich

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Nigeria have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Libya have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Nigeria slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 15. Okt. 2024, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.94 - 1.69) back Nigeria to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

36%
Libya
30%
Unentschieden
34%
Nigeria
Unentschieden-Quote: 30% Favorit: Libya

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

66% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Libya haven't matched Nigeria's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Libya's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Nigeria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nigeria, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
  • History favors Nigeria here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 38%
Über 3.5 Tore 22%
Über 4.5 Tore 10%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 70.2%
Libya Ohne Gegentor 13%
Nigeria Ohne Gegentor 16%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Libya Nigeria
Spiele 30 32
Siege 12 18
Unentschieden 11 6
Niederlagen 7 8
Erzielte Tore 1.17 1.84
Gegentore 0.93 1.13
Erwartete Tore (xG) 0.94 1.69
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

15. Okt. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Libya vs Nigeria
0:3
11. Okt. 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Nigeria vs Libya
1:0
16. Okt. 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Libya vs Nigeria
2:3
13. Okt. 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Nigeria vs Libya
4:0
19. Jan. 2018 African Nations Championship
Libya vs Nigeria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Libya 35 / 100
Nigeria 34 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Libya Nigeria

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Libya found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Nigeria has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Libya remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

Libya VS Nigeria
1 Erzielte Tore 2.13
1.25 Kassierte Tore 0.88
50% Über 1.5 75%
50% Über 2.5 63%
50% Über 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Libya

(Home)
29 Sept
Uganda
1 : 0
Libya
24 Sept
Libya
2 : 2
Botswana
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
Page 1 of 6

Nigeria

(Away)
06 Oct
Russia
3 : 3
Nigeria
29 Sept
Guinea Bissau
3 : 0
Nigeria
25 Sept
Nigeria
2 : 1
Madagascar
10 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Nigeria
03 Jun
Poland
2 : 2
Nigeria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comoros 6 3 3 0 7:4 12
2 Tunisia 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
3 Gambia 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Madagascar 6 0 2 4 4:8 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 6 6 0 0 26:2 18
2 Gabon 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
3 Lesotho 6 1 1 4 2:13 4
4 Central Africa 6 1 0 5 3:14 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Botswana 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Mauritania 6 2 1 3 3:6 7
4 Cape Verde 6 1 1 4 3:7 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
2 Benin 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Rwanda 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Libya 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Equatorial Guinea 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
3 Togo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
4 Liberia 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Sudan 6 2 2 2 4:6 8
3 Niger 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Ghana 6 0 3 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
2 Ivory Coast 6 4 0 2 12:3 12
3 Sierra Leone 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
4 Chad 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
2 Tanzania 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
3 Guinea 6 3 0 3 9:5 9
4 Ethiopia 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mali 6 4 2 0 10:1 14
2 Mozambique 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
3 Guinea Bissau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
4 Eswatini 6 0 2 4 2:13 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 6 4 2 0 8:2 14
2 Zimbabwe 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Kenya 6 1 3 2 4:7 6
4 Namibia 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
2 Uganda 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Congo 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
4 South Sudan 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 6 5 1 0 10:1 16
2 Burkina Faso 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 Burundi 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
4 Malawi 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Main)