Sport Tipps
Lillestrom vs Sogndal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
NM Cup Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm 
Spielzusammenfassung
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Lillestrom have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Sogndal's 1.93 scored and 2.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Lillestrom slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 13. Sept. 2025, ending 1:5. xG projections (1.69 - 1.13) back Lillestrom to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
60%
22%
18%
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Lillestrom
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
82%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Lillestrom carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lillestrom a 60% chance of winning this.
- Lillestrom have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sogndal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 98%
Über 1.5 Tore 87.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 19%
Über 4.5 Tore 9%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 74.2%
Lillestrom Ohne Gegentor 20%
Sogndal Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Lillestrom | Sogndal |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 27 | 27 |
| Siege | 11 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 6 |
| Niederlagen | 12 | 13 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.48 | 1.93 |
| Gegentore | 1.44 | 2.07 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
13. Sept. 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Lillestrom
1:5
28. Juni 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom vs Sogndal
0:0
12. März 2023 NM Cup
Sogndal vs Lillestrom
1:2
4. Nov. 2020 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Lillestrom
0:1
4. Aug. 2020 OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom vs Sogndal
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Lillestrom 58 / 100
Sogndal 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Lillestrom Sogndal
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Lillestrom Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Sogndal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Lillestrom scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Lillestrom remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
Lillestrom VS Sogndal
1.88 Erzielte Tore 1
1.25 Kassierte Tore 1.5
100% Über 1.5 75%
63% Über 2.5 50%
25% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lillestrom
(Home) 18 Oct
Sandefjord
0 : 2 Lillestrom
15 Oct
Sparta Prague
1 : 1 Lillestrom
11 Oct
Lillestrom
2 : 2 Molde
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5 Lillestrom
20 Sept
Viking
3 : 0 Lillestrom
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Lillestrom
2 : 2 Molde
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2 Torreense
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0 Valerenga
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 3
Sogndal
(Away) 18 Oct
Egersund
3 : 3 Sogndal
14 Oct
Sogndal
0 : 1 Odds BK
11 Oct
Asane
2 : 1 Sogndal
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1 Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2 Sogndal
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Egersund
3 : 3 Sogndal
11 Oct
Asane
2 : 1 Sogndal
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1 Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2 Sogndal
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0 Sogndal
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum 1
Lillestrom 5
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK 2
Bodo/Glimt 6
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL 0
Viking 3
Honefoss 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint 0
Sandefjord 1
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
Lillestrom -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
Bodo/Glimt -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
Viking -
KFUM Oslo -
Raufoss 1
Start 5
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
Sandefjord -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Valerenga -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
