Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Liverpool vs Brighton

England England

FA Cup Anfield, Liverpool
Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

15'
Dunk L.
33'
Gomez D.
41'
Baleba C.

Spielzusammenfassung

Liverpool in this FA Cup tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

30%
Liverpool
39%
Unentschieden
31%
Brighton
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

65% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Form's been kind to Liverpool lately — more wins on the board than Brighton.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Liverpool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Liverpool, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73%
Liverpool Ohne Gegentor 17%
Brighton Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Liverpool Brighton
Spiele 30 27
Siege 16 9
Unentschieden 4 7
Niederlagen 10 11
Erzielte Tore 1.63 1.13
Gegentore 1.63 1.13
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.63 1.13
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

21. März 2026 Premier League
Brighton vs Liverpool
2:1
14. Feb. 2026 FA Cup
Liverpool vs Brighton
3:0
13. Dez. 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Brighton
2:0
19. Mai 2025 Premier League
Brighton vs Liverpool
3:2
2. Nov. 2024 Premier League
Liverpool vs Brighton
2:1

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen

Liverpool Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Jones C.
1 Tore
Top-Vorlagengeber Szoboszlai D.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.25
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.81

Brighton Vergleich

Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.03
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Liverpool 30 / 100
Brighton 30 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Liverpool Brighton

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp LIV Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Liverpool found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Brighton has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Liverpool has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tor-Trends

Liverpool VS Brighton
1.63 Erzielte Tore 1.13
1.63 Kassierte Tore 1.13
100% Über 1.5 63%
50% Über 2.5 63%
38% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liverpool

(Home)
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2
Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Brentford
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2
Liverpool
09 May
Liverpool
1 : 1
Chelsea
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2
Liverpool
Page 1 of 6

Brighton

(Away)
24 May
Brighton
0 : 3
Manchester United
17 May
Leeds
1 : 0
Brighton
09 May
Brighton
3 : 0
Wolves
02 May
Newcastle Utd
3 : 1
Brighton
21 Apr
Brighton
3 : 0
Chelsea
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nottingham-
Ipswich-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blackpool1
Scunthorpe0
Reading2
Carlisle3
Hull City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blackburn-
Charlton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelsea-
Port Vale5
Maldon & Tiptree1
Bromley1
Bristol Rovers2
Fleetwood Town2
Barnet1
Luton4
Forest Green3
Bristol City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford-
Colchester2
Milton Keynes Dons3
Oldham3
Northampton1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oxford Utd-
Everton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sunderland-
Boreham Wood3
Crawley Town0
Newport3
Gillingham2
Brackley3
Notts County2
Burton6
St. Albans0
West Ham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
QPR-
Slough Town2
Altrincham1
Macclesfield6
AFC Totton3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Crystal Palace-
Sheffield Wed-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford-
Tranmere1
Stockport County3
Cambridge Utd3
Chester0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Birmingham-
Derby-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leeds-
Norwich-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AFC Wimbledon0
Gateshead2
Eastleigh0
Walsall3
Swansea-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
West Brom-
Tottenham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aston Villa-
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bournemouth-
Manchester City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Halifax0
Exeter2
Wycombe2
Plymouth0
Salford2
Lincoln City1
Tamworth0
Leyton Orient1
Rotherham1
Swindon2
Bolton2
Huddersfield1
Grimsby3
Ebbsfleet1
Wealdstone1
Southend0
Chelmsford4
Braintree1
Weston-super-Mare2
Aldershot1
Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutton2
Telford1
South Shields1
Shrewsbury3
Liverpool-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Peterborough1
Cardiff0
Barnsley3
York City2
Manchester United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brighton-
Stoke City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coventry-
Fulham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Middlesbrough-
Stevenage0
Chesterfield1
Crewe1
Doncaster2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Southampton-
Cheltenham1
Bradford City0
Buxton2
Chatham1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leicester-
Burnley-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Millwall-
Sheffield Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gainsborough1
Accrington2
Mansfield3
Harrogate2
Portsmouth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Preston-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wigan2
Hemel Hempstead1
Spennymoor0
Barrow2
1/64-finals
Wrexham-
TBD-
TBD-
Nottingham-
Ipswich-
TBD-
Blackpool4
Carlisle1
Hull City-
TBD-
TBD-
Blackburn-
Charlton-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelsea-
Port Vale1
Bristol Rovers0
Fleetwood Town3
Luton2
Bristol City-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford-
Milton Keynes Dons3
Oldham1
TBD-
Oxford Utd-
Everton-
TBD-
TBD-
Sunderland-
Boreham Wood3
Newport0
Brackley1
Burton3
West Ham-
TBD-
TBD-
QPR-
Slough Town1
Macclesfield3
TBD-
Crystal Palace-
Sheffield Wed-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford-
Stockport County0
Cambridge Utd1
TBD-
Birmingham-
Derby-
TBD-
TBD-
Leeds-
Norwich-
TBD-
Gateshead0
Walsall2
Swansea-
TBD-
TBD-
West Brom-
Tottenham-
TBD-
TBD-
Aston Villa-
Newcastle Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
Bournemouth-
Manchester City-
TBD-
Exeter4
Wycombe0
Salford4
Leyton Orient0
Swindon4
Bolton0
Grimsby4
Wealdstone0
Chelmsford0
Weston-super-Mare2
Wolves-
TBD-
Sutton1
Shrewsbury2
Liverpool-
TBD-
Peterborough0
Barnsley1
Manchester United-
TBD-
TBD-
Brighton-
Stoke City-
TBD-
TBD-
Coventry-
Fulham-
TBD-
TBD-
Middlesbrough-
Chesterfield1
Doncaster2
TBD-
Southampton-
Cheltenham6
Buxton2
TBD-
Leicester-
Burnley-
TBD-
TBD-
Millwall-
Sheffield Utd-
TBD-
Accrington2
Mansfield3
Portsmouth-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Preston-
TBD-
Wigan3
Barrow2
1/32-finals
Wrexham4
Nottingham3
Ipswich2
Blackpool1
Hull City1
Blackburn0
Charlton1
Chelsea5
Port Vale1
Fleetwood Town0
Bristol City5
Watford1
Milton Keynes Dons1
Oxford Utd2
Everton1
Sunderland2
Boreham Wood0
Burton5
West Ham2
QPR1
Macclesfield2
Crystal Palace1
Sheffield Wed0
Brentford2
Cambridge Utd2
Birmingham3
Derby1
Leeds3
Norwich5
Walsall1
Swansea2
West Brom3
Tottenham1
Aston Villa2
Newcastle Utd4
Bournemouth3
Manchester City10
Exeter1
Salford3
Swindon2
Grimsby3
Weston-super-Mare2
Wolves6
Shrewsbury1
Liverpool4
Barnsley1
Manchester United1
Brighton2
Stoke City1
Coventry0
Fulham3
Middlesbrough1
Doncaster2
Southampton3
Cheltenham0
Leicester2
Burnley5
Millwall1
Sheffield Utd3
Mansfield4
Portsmouth1
Arsenal4
Preston0
Wigan1
1/16-finals
Wrexham1
Ipswich0
Hull City0
Chelsea4
Port Vale1
Bristol City0
Oxford Utd0
Sunderland1
Burton0
West Ham1
Macclesfield0
Brentford1
Birmingham1
Leeds2
Norwich3
West Brom1
Aston Villa1
Newcastle Utd3
Manchester City2
Salford0
Grimsby0
Wolves1
Liverpool3
Brighton0
Stoke City1
Fulham2
Southampton2
Leicester1
Burnley1
Mansfield2
Arsenal4
Wigan0
1/8-finals
Wrexham2
Chelsea4
Port Vale1
Sunderland0
West Ham3
Brentford2
Leeds3
Norwich0
Newcastle Utd1
Manchester City3
Wolves1
Liverpool3
Fulham0
Southampton1
Mansfield1
Arsenal2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea7
Port Vale0
West Ham2
Leeds3
Manchester City4
Liverpool0
Southampton2
Arsenal1
Semi-finals
Chelsea1
Leeds0
Manchester City2
Southampton1
Final
Chelsea0
Manchester City1