Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This match ends 2-3, with Caernarfon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
4%
6%
90%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Caernarfon
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Llanrug on wins alone.
- Model gives Caernarfon a 90% chance of winning this.
- Caernarfon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Caernarfon, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 12.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 75.4%
Llanrug Ohne Gegentor 17%
Caernarfon Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Llanrug | Caernarfon |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 20 | 32 |
| Siege | 8 | 16 |
| Unentschieden | 0 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 12 | 11 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.85 | 1.81 |
| Gegentore | 2.95 | 1.59 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
3. Okt. 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanrug vs Caernarfon
2:3
12. Okt. 2013 FAW Welsh Cup
Caernarfon vs Llanrug
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Llanrug 10 / 100
Caernarfon 83 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Llanrug Caernarfon
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Caernarfon Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Llanrug found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (20 games).
Caernarfon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
Solid form: Llanrug remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
- VS Caernarfon
0 Erzielte Tore 1.75
0 Kassierte Tore 1.63
0% Über 1.5 100%
0% Über 2.5 88%
0% Über 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Llanrug
(Home) 18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
Page 1 of 4
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
03 Oct
Llanrug
2 : 3 Caernarfon
08 Dec
Llanrug
0 : 5 West End
12 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Nefyn United
Page 1 of 2
Caernarfon
(Away) 31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
15 Aug
Caernarfon
3 : 0 Colwyn Bay
07 Aug
Caernarfon
1 : 2 Penybont
Page 1 of 7
28 Aug
Holywell Town FC
3 : 5 Caernarfon
21 Aug
Trefelin
0 : 2 Caernarfon
02 Aug
Connahs Q.
1 : 2 Caernarfon
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0 Caernarfon
20 Jun
Glentoran
1 : 2 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Cefn Albion 3
Conwy Borough 5
Aberdare Town 3
Cwmbach Royal Stars 0
Briton Ferry 2
Barry Town 3
Cefn Druids 4
Gresford 0
Bow Street 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 4
Carno FC 0
Berriew FC 1
Rhostyllen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llantwit Fardre 0
Pontypridd United 0
Penybont 2
Garden Village 2
Rhayader 1
Ton Pentre 0
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 1
Knighton Town 2
Caerleon 2
Treharris Athletic 1
Butetown FC 1
Afan Lido 5
Buckley 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 0
Gwalchmai 0
Mold Alexandra 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 3
Corwen 2
Hawarden Rangers 0
Llanfair United 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli 6
Panteg 3
Llwydcoed 0
Cambrian United 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Aberaeron 0
Risca United 2
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Goytre Utd 4
Monmouth 2
Undy 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 2
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Town 1
Dinas Powys 4
Llandudno Junction 6
Caersws FC 1
Llanrug 2
Caernarfon 3
Penrhyncoch 5
Aberffraw 0
Waterloo Rovers 1
Trearddur Bay 7
West End 3
Treowen 2
Llandrindod 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 5
Prestatyn Sports 0
Pentraeth 0
Holyhead 8
Guilsfield 4
Glantraeth FC 2
Queens Park 0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Ebbw Vale F.C. 1
Taffs Well 1
Cwmamman United 2
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/32-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 4
Conwy Borough 1
Aberdare Town 2
Barry Town 7
Cefn Druids 2
Porthmadog 0
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 2
Rhostyllen 0
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Penybont 2
Garden Village 1
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 6
Knighton Town 3
Caerleon 0
Afan Lido 2
Buckley 1
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 5
Llanfair United 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
Llanelli 0
Cambrian United 2
Brecon Corinthians 3
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Goytre Utd 1
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Dinas Powys 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 4
Trearddur Bay 0
West End 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Holyhead 4
Guilsfield 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Cwmamman United 4
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/16-finals
TNS 3
Aberystwyth 0
Denbigh 1
Barry Town 6
Cefn Druids 1
Rhyl 0
Flint Town 0
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
STM Sports 0
Holywell Town FC 0
Afan Lido 1
Buckley 1
Llandudno FC 0
Prestatyn 0
Connahs Q. 3
Port Talbot 2
Cambrian United 1
Brecon Corinthians 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Caernarfon 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Bangor City 1
Holyhead 2
Guilsfield 3
Cwmamman United 0
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
1/8-finals
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Cefn Druids 0
Newtown 6
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Afan Lido 0
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Port Talbot 3
Caerau Ely 0
Goytre AFC 3
Cwmbran Celtic 5
Bala 3
Holyhead 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Quarter-finals
TNS 1
Newtown 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 2
Port Talbot 2
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Bala 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Semi-finals
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Final
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
