Sport Tipps
Lucchese vs Sestri Levante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italien
Coppa Italia Serie D Porta Elisa, Lucca 
Spielzusammenfassung
A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sestri Levante have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while Lucchese have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Sestri Levante slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17. Mai 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.44, favoring Lucchese. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
60%
22%
18%
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Lucchese
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
82%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Lucchese come out ahead of Sestri Levante on wins alone.
- Lucchese are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Lucchese have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sestri Levante, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 74.6%
Lucchese Ohne Gegentor 16%
Sestri Levante Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Lucchese | Sestri Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 28 | 31 |
| Siege | 13 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 8 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.82 | 1.35 |
| Gegentore | 1.71 | 1.16 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.75 | 1.44 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
17. Mai 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lucchese vs Sestri Levante
1:0
10. Mai 2025 Serie C - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Lucchese
2:1
23. Feb. 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sestri Levante vs Lucchese
1:1
11. Okt. 2024 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Sestri Levante
0:0
14. Jan. 2024 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Sestri Levante
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Lucchese 57 / 100
Sestri Levante 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Lucchese Sestri Levante
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Lucchese Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Attacking prowess: Lucchese scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Sestri Levante let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Lucchese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Tor-Trends
Lucchese VS Sestri Levante
2.25 Erzielte Tore 1.38
1.5 Kassierte Tore 1.25
75% Über 1.5 88%
75% Über 2.5 50%
50% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lucchese
(Home) 07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2 Lucchese
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6 Lucchese
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0 Lucchese
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1 Montevarchi
17 May
Lucchese
1 : 0 Sestri Levante
27 Apr
Lucchese
3 : 2 Sassari Torres
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Sestri Levante
(Away) 07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0 Pistoiese
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1 Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2 AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
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04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1 Sestri Levante
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1 Sestri Levante
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1 Sestri Levante
19 Aug
Sampdoria U20
1 : 4 Sestri Levante
07 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
2 : 2 Sestri Levante
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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