Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Copa Sudamericana encounter between Macara and Tigre promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Macara averages 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Tigre shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Macara, 0 wins for Tigre, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 07.05.26 ended in a 2:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.18 for Macara and 1.40 for Tigre, suggesting the primary value lies in the Macara double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Macara hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Tigre.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.18 vs. 1.40 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Macara | Tigre |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 12 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 14 |
| Niederlagen | 9 | 7 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Gegentore | 0.9 | 0.87 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.50 | 1.29 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.86 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Macara
Tigre
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Macara Vergleich
Tigre Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Macara have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Tigre have conceded at least one goal in 67% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Macara remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Tigre suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Alianza Atl. | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico-MG | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Juventud | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:1 | 12 |
| 2 | O Higgins | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:12 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recoleta | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Santos | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:7 | 6 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Caracas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:15 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Deportivo Riestra | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:6 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Vasco | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:8 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bragantino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Carabobo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Blooming | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |