Sport Tipps
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Villacanas
Spanien
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 
Spielzusammenfassung
This Tercera RFEF - Group 18 encounter between Manchego Ciudad Real and Villacanas promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Manchego Ciudad Real averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded in recent matches. Villacanas shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Both back lines have been highly organized and defensive lately, suggesting a tight, low-scoring matchup where details will decide the outcome. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Manchego Ciudad Real, 3 wins for Villacanas, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.01.26 ended in a 1:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.13 for Manchego Ciudad Real and 0.56 for Villacanas, suggesting the primary value lies in the Manchego Ciudad Real double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Manchego Ciudad Real hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Villacanas.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.13 vs. 0.56 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Manchego Ciudad Real | Villacanas |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 15 | 10 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 11 |
| Niederlagen | 8 | 9 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.43 | 0.87 |
| Gegentore | 0.77 | 0.83 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Manchego Ciudad Real
Villacanas
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Manchego Ciudad Real Vergleich
Villacanas Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Manchego Ciudad Real have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Villacanas have conceded at least one goal in 60% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.
Manchego Ciudad Real remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Villacanas suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54:21 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:17 | 68 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 49:17 | 64 |
| 5 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 61 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 29:26 | 48 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:44 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Illescas | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21:32 | 37 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 14 | La Solana | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 16 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 28:43 | 33 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28:69 | 22 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17:64 | 18 |