Sport Tipps

Stadium Background

Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 One Call Stadium, Mansfield
Mi., 15. Okt. 2025
2 - 3
06:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

4' Event
Heffernan C.
24' Event
Dickov M.
Vorlage: Gardner J.
55'
Taylor J.

Spielzusammenfassung

Newcastle Utd U21 in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

60%
Mansfield
22%
Unentschieden
18%
Newcastle Utd U21
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Mansfield

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

82% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Mansfield have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd U21.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Mansfield taking it.
  • Mansfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mansfield, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • Mansfield have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 96%
Über 1.5 Tore 85.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 50%
Über 4.5 Tore 23%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 72.2%
Mansfield Ohne Gegentor 17%
Newcastle Utd U21 Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Mansfield Newcastle Utd U21
Spiele 30 29
Siege 10 8
Unentschieden 8 5
Niederlagen 12 16
Erzielte Tore 1.57 1.24
Gegentore 1.63 1.97
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.40 1.42
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

15. Okt. 2025 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:3
29. Okt. 2024 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
3:0
9. Nov. 2021 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
6:3

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen

Mansfield Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Dickov M.
1 Tore
Top-Vorlagengeber Flanagan F.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.85
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 1.2

Newcastle Utd U21 Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Heffernan C.
1 Tore
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.29
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Mansfield 57 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Mansfield Newcastle Utd U21

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Mansfield Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Newcastle Utd U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Newcastle Utd U21 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Mansfield scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Tor-Trends

Mansfield VS Newcastle Utd U21
2.13 Erzielte Tore 0.83
2 Kassierte Tore 2.67
88% Über 1.5 83%
88% Über 2.5 67%
50% Über 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield

(Home)
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0
Mansfield
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0
Mansfield
30 Aug
Mansfield
5 : 2
Luton
22 Aug
Peterborough
2 : 1
Mansfield
19 Aug
Mansfield
1 : 4
Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
24 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Stockport County 3 2 0 1 7:7 5
3 Wolves U21 3 1 0 2 7:10 3
4 Wigan 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranmere 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Blackpool 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Barrow 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Nottingham U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doncaster 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Bradford City 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Grimsby 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Everton U21 3 0 0 3 5:12 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Barnsley 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
3 Manchester United U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Notts County 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolton 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Rotherham 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Oldham 3 0 0 3 5:14 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Huddersfield 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Newcastle Utd U21 3 1 0 2 5:11 2
4 Mansfield 3 0 0 3 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Port Vale 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
2 Fleetwood Town 3 3 0 0 9:5 7
3 Accrington 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
4 Leeds U21 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crewe 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 4:9 4
3 Burton 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Liverpool U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Exeter 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Newport 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Arsenal U21 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol Rovers 3 3 0 0 6:4 8
2 Plymouth 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Cheltenham 3 1 0 2 2:5 2
4 Tottenham U21 3 0 0 3 8:12 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northampton 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Walsall 3 2 0 1 3:2 5
3 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Chelsea U21 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swindon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 West Ham U21 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Reading 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Milton Keynes Dons 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 3 3 0 0 12:4 9
2 AFC Wimbledon 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
3 Bromley 3 1 0 2 5:7 2
4 Crystal Palace U21 3 0 0 3 6:11 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leyton Orient 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Peterborough 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Aston Villa U21 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Gillingham 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Fulham U21 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luton 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
2 Cambridge Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Barnet 3 2 0 1 5:7 5
4 Brighton U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)