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Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 One Call Stadium, Mansfield
Mi., 15. Okt. 2025
2 - 3
06:45 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

4' Event
Heffernan C.
24' Event
Dickov M.
Vorlage: Gardner J.
55'
Taylor J.

Spielzusammenfassung

Newcastle Utd U21 in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

40%
Mansfield
33%
Unentschieden
27%
Newcastle Utd U21
Unentschieden-Quote: 33% Favorit: Mansfield

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

70% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Mansfield have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd U21.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Mansfield taking it.
  • Mansfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mansfield, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • Mansfield have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 98%
Über 1.5 Tore 87.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 71.8%
Mansfield Ohne Gegentor 20%
Newcastle Utd U21 Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Mansfield Newcastle Utd U21
Spiele 32 30
Siege 13 8
Unentschieden 12 7
Niederlagen 7 15
Erzielte Tore 1.5 1
Gegentore 1 1.75
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.50 1.00
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

15. Okt. 2025 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:3
29. Okt. 2024 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
3:0
9. Nov. 2021 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
6:3

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen

Mansfield Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Dickov M.
1 Tore
Top-Vorlagengeber Flanagan F.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.15
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.75

Newcastle Utd U21 Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Heffernan C.
1 Tore
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.91
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Mansfield 40 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 26 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Mansfield Newcastle Utd U21

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp MAN Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Newcastle Utd U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Mansfield scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Mansfield went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Mansfield VS Newcastle Utd U21
1.5 Erzielte Tore 1
1 Kassierte Tore 1.75
75% Über 1.5 100%
50% Über 2.5 50%
38% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield

(Home)
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3
Mansfield
14 Jul
Retford United
1 : 2
Mansfield
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
28 Apr
Peterborough
0 : 0
Mansfield
25 Apr
Huddersfield
1 : 4
Mansfield
Page 1 of 7

Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 1
Wolves U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Mar
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 0
Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)