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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto
Mi., 14. Okt. 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 2-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Matsumoto Yamaga at 1.71 goals for, 1.29 against; Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 2.14 for, 1.1 against. Head-to-head, Matsumoto Yamaga have won 0 to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on 20. Juli 2019, ending 2:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.75) back Sanfrecce Hiroshima to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

4%
Matsumoto Yamaga
6%
Unentschieden
90%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than Matsumoto Yamaga.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sanfrecce Hiroshima taking it.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • History favors Sanfrecce Hiroshima here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73%
Matsumoto Yamaga Ohne Gegentor 12%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Ohne Gegentor 16%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Matsumoto Yamaga Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Spiele 28 29
Siege 12 18
Unentschieden 5 2
Niederlagen 11 9
Erzielte Tore 1.71 2.14
Gegentore 1.29 1.1
Erwartete Tore (xG) 0.94 1.75
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

20. Juli 2019 J1 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:2
17. März 2019 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
15. Juli 2015 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Matsumoto Yamaga
6:0
22. Apr. 2015 J.League Cup
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:4
14. März 2015 J1 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Matsumoto Yamaga 10 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 84 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Matsumoto Yamaga Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Matsumoto Yamaga scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Matsumoto Yamaga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tor-Trends

Matsumoto Yamaga VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.13 Erzielte Tore 2.38
1.13 Kassierte Tore 0.75
50% Über 1.5 75%
38% Über 2.5 50%
25% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Matsumoto Yamaga

(Home)
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Away)
07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Iwaki
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -