Sport Tipps
Merthyr Town vs Hednesford - H2H & Predictions
England
National League North 
Spielereignisse
3'
3'
Maddox J.
45'
45'
Maddox J.
Spielzusammenfassung
Merthyr Town in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Merthyr Town.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
36%
44%
20%
Unentschieden-Quote: 44% Favorit: Draw
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
71%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Hednesford lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 37.2%
Merthyr Town Ohne Gegentor 19%
Hednesford Ohne Gegentor 68%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Merthyr Town | Hednesford |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 8 | 13 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 8 |
| Niederlagen | 14 | 8 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.45 | 1.66 |
| Gegentore | 1.62 | 1.28 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
8. Aug. 2026 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Hednesford
2:0
13. Apr. 2010 Southern Premier League
Merthyr Town vs Hednesford
1:2
10. Okt. 2009 Southern Premier League
Hednesford vs Merthyr Town
1:1
2. Mai 2005 Southern Premier League
Merthyr Town vs Hednesford
1:2
12. Feb. 2005 Southern Premier League
Merthyr Town vs Hednesford
0:2
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Merthyr Town Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Maddox J.
2 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.92
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.59
Hednesford Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.14
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Merthyr Town 36 / 100
Hednesford 32 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Merthyr Town Hednesford
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Hednesford Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Merthyr Town scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Hednesford has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Merthyr Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Merthyr Town VS Hednesford
1.13 Erzielte Tore 1.5
1 Kassierte Tore 1.25
75% Über 1.5 75%
38% Über 2.5 50%
13% Über 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Merthyr Town
(Home) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1 Macclesfield
29 Aug
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Chorley
18 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 2 Telford
Page 1 of 4
Hednesford
(Away) 26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1 Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1 South Shields
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1 Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3 Hednesford
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1 Hednesford
22 Aug
Telford
1 : 1 Hednesford
08 Aug
Merthyr Town
2 : 0 Hednesford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
