Sport Tipps
Millwall vs Newcastle Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup The Den, London 
Spielereignisse
46'
46'
Wechsel
Dedic A. Rein: Livramento V.
Raus: Dedic A.
62'
62'
Wechsel
Esse R. Rein: Issoufou Y.
Raus: Esse R.
62'
62'
Wechsel
Lovelace Z. Rein: Arconte T.
Raus: Lovelace Z.
Spielzusammenfassung
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
42%
20%
38%
Unentschieden-Quote: 20% Favorit: Millwall
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
67%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Millwall have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd.
- Model gives Millwall a 42% chance of winning this.
- Millwall have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 70%
Über 4.5 Tore 32%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73.8%
Millwall Ohne Gegentor 18%
Newcastle Utd Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Millwall | Newcastle Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 28 | 28 |
| Siege | 11 | 10 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 10 | 13 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.25 | 1.43 |
| Gegentore | 1.14 | 1.75 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
8. Sept. 2026 EFL Cup
Millwall vs Newcastle Utd
0:1
17. Apr. 1993 Championship
Millwall vs Newcastle Utd
1:2
20. Dez. 1992 Championship
Newcastle Utd vs Millwall
1:1
18. Apr. 1992 Championship
Newcastle Utd vs Millwall
0:1
21. Sept. 1991 Championship
Millwall vs Newcastle Utd
2:1
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Millwall Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.06
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.69
Newcastle Utd Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Willock J.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.19
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Millwall 41 / 100
Newcastle Utd 36 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Millwall Newcastle Utd
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Draw (X)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Newcastle Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Millwall found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Millwall has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tor-Trends
Millwall VS Newcastle Utd
1.25 Erzielte Tore 1.13
1.5 Kassierte Tore 1.5
63% Über 1.5 63%
63% Über 2.5 50%
50% Über 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Millwall
(Home) 24 Oct
Portsmouth
2 : 1 Millwall
17 Oct
Millwall
2 : 2 Lincoln City
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1 Swansea
10 Oct
Preston
0 : 1 Millwall
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2 West Ham
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Millwall
2 : 2 Lincoln City
13 Oct
Millwall
0 : 1 Swansea
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2 West Ham
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0 Bolton
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd
(Away) 25 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town 2
Arsenal 1
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City 2
Peterborough 0
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
