Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This League One 2025/2026 encounter between Montrose and Hamilton promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Montrose averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in recent matches. Hamilton shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Montrose, 4 wins for Hamilton, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.04.26 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.00 for Montrose and 1.94 for Hamilton, suggesting the primary value lies in the Hamilton double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Montrose hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Hamilton.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.00 vs. 1.94 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 59%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Montrose | Hamilton |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 10 | 11 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 8 |
| Niederlagen | 10 | 10 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.59 | 1.38 |
| Gegentore | 1.69 | 1.55 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.88 | 2.13 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Montrose
Hamilton
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Montrose Vergleich
Hamilton Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Montrose have found the net in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Hamilton have conceded at least one goal in 72% of their last 29 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.
Montrose remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Hamilton suffered defeat in 0 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inverness | 36 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 60:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Stenhousemuir | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Queen of the South | 36 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 58:47 | 54 |
| 4 | Alloa | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 50:38 | 53 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 48:64 | 43 |
| 6 | Montrose | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 48:67 | 42 |
| 7 | Cove Rangers | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 41:44 | 38 |
| 8 | East Fife | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 34:61 | 36 |
| 9 | Hamilton | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54:42 | 34 |
| 10 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 33:62 | 29 |