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Europe

Conference League Fir Park, Motherwell

HJK

Unser Tipp

Zusammenfassung Siegchance Tore Form H2H Taktik Spieler Indizes Vorhersagen Spielverlauf Genauigkeit Vergleich

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Conference League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Motherwell have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against HJK's 2.63 scored and 1.63 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.88, favoring HJK. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

70%

Motherwell

17%

Unentschieden

13%

HJK

Unentschieden-Quote: 17% Favorit: Motherwell

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

88% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen

HJK carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Motherwell a 70% chance of winning this.
HJK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%

Über 1.5 Tore 82%

Über 2.5 Tore 78%

Über 3.5 Tore 44%

Über 4.5 Tore 20%

Beide treffen (BTTS) 68.6%

Motherwell Ohne Gegentor 10%

HJK Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik	Motherwell	HJK
Spiele	27	28
Siege	13	15
Unentschieden	4	4
Niederlagen	10	9
Erzielte Tore	1.25	2.63
Gegentore	1.13	1.63
Erwartete Tore (xG)	1.25	2.63
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Motherwell 65 / 100

HJK 14 / 100

Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

Motherwell HJK

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp MOT Win (1)

Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)

Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Motherwell's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

HJK let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Motherwell has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

HJK lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Motherwell VS HJK

1.25 Erzielte Tore 2.63

1.13 Kassierte Tore 1.63

63% Über 1.5 100%

50% Über 2.5 88%

25% Über 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell

(Home)

02 Aug

Hibernian

1 : 2

Motherwell

30 Jul

HB Torshavn

0 : 3

Motherwell

23 Jul

Motherwell

2 : 0

HB Torshavn

17 Jul

Motherwell

3 : 4

Genk

05 Jul

Aarhus

4 : 0

Motherwell

Page 1 of 6

HJK

(Away)

03 Aug

SJK

3 : 0

HJK

30 Jul

Coleraine

0 : 3

HJK

26 Jul

HJK

1 : 0

TPS

23 Jul

HJK

5 : 0

Coleraine

18 Jul

HJK

2 : 1

VPS

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka -

TBD -

Petrocub Hincesti -

ML Vitebsk -

TBD -

Sutjeska -

TBD -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana -

TBD -

Drita -

Flora -

TBD -

TNS -

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

TBD -

Vardar -

TBD -

Riga FC -

Bissen -

TBD -

Gyor -

TBD -

HJK -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Motherwell -

TBD -

HB Torshavn -

TBD -

Freiburg -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir -

TBD -

FK Sarajevo 2

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz -

TBD -

Mornar Bar 2

Atletic Escaldes 4

Debrecen -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk 0

Pyunik Yerevan 4

Polissya Zhytomyr -

TBD -

FC Copenhagen -

TBD -

FC Hegelmann 1

Paide Linnameeskond 4

Zira FK 6

Torpedo Kutaisi 0

Penybont 0

FC Santa Coloma 4

TBD -

Rapid Vienna -

Alashkert 4

Yelimay Semey 3

TBD -

CFR Cluj -

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Mondorf 2

Dinamo Tbilisi 3

Petrovac 2

Zalgiris 5

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa -

TBD -

Valletta -

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks -

TBD -

Panathinaikos -

Spartak Trnava -

TBD -

CSKA 1948 Sofia -

TBD -

IFK Goteborg -

TBD -

Caernarfon 0

Levadia 10

LNZ Cherkasy -

TBD -

Gent -

Vllaznia 2

Malisheva 6

TBD -

Hibernian -

Bravo -

TBD -

Europa FC 0

Shkendija Tetovo 6

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj -

TBD -

Brann -

Dila Gori 3

Virtus 2

TBD -

Apollon Limassol -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Ludogorets -

Zilina -

TBD -

GKS Katowice -

Bohemians 2

St Josephs 0

Connahs Q. 2

FC Ballkani 3

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka -

TBD -

Derry City -

Vikingur 3

Stjarnan 5

Differdange 1

Ilves 3

TBD -

Varazdin -

TBD -

Jablonec -

Glentoran 1

RFS 4

TBD -

Vestri -

Valur -

TBD -

Zrinjski -

GAIS -

TBD -

Nordsjaelland -

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Aluminij -

TBD -

Dinamo City 4

FC Astana 2

TBD -

Zimbru Chisinau -

TBD -

Noah -

AF Elbasani 1

BATE 2

TBD -

Sion -

Vojvodina -

TBD -

Ajax -

Shelbourne -

TBD -

Kalju 3

Linfield 2

Zeleznicar Pancevo -

TBD -

Braga -

Neftci Baku -

TBD -

Din. Minsk 2

Sileks 1

AEK Larnaca -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Decic 1

FK Liepaja 3

TBD -

Austria Vienna -

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda -

TBD -

Velez Mostar 2

Milsami 1

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan -

TBD -

UNA Strassen 3

La Fiorita 0

FK Panevezys -

TBD -

Tobol -

Lugano -

TBD -

Dukagjini -

NSI Runavik 3

Hamrun 2

TBD -

Koper -

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka 6

Petrocub Hincesti 3

ML Vitebsk 5

Sutjeska 1

TBD -

Tre Fiori -

TBD -

Floriana 2

Drita 3

Flora 2

TNS 1

TBD -

Inter Escaldes -

TBD -

Vardar 4

Riga FC 8

Bissen 3

Gyor 7

TBD -

HJK 8

Coleraine 0

Motherwell 5

HB Torshavn 0

TBD -

Freiburg -

TBD -

Monaco -

Basaksehir 1

Inter Turku 3

Vaduz 6

Atletic Escaldes 0

Debrecen 1

Pyunik Yerevan 0

Polissya Zhytomyr 4

FC Copenhagen 5

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Zira FK 1

FC Santa Coloma 3

Rapid Vienna 9

Alashkert 1

CFR Cluj 4

TBD -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Dinamo Tbilisi 5

Zalgiris 7

TBD -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa 7

Valletta 1

TBD -

Hammarby -

Paks 3

Panathinaikos 4

Spartak Trnava 0

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1

TBD -

IFK Goteborg 4

Levadia 3

LNZ Cherkasy 0

Gent 1

Malisheva 3

Hibernian 4

Bravo 3

Shkendija Tetovo 4

TBD -

Universitatea Cluj 3

Brann 5

Dila Gori 0

Apollon Limassol 7

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv 4

Ludogorets 2

Zilina 3

GKS Katowice 4

Bohemians 5

FC Ballkani 4

TBD -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka 2

Derry City 0

Stjarnan 2

Ilves 3

TBD -

Varazdin 3

Jablonec 4

RFS 5

Vestri 2

Valur 3

Zrinjski 2

GAIS 1

Nordsjaelland 6

Sheriff Tiraspol -

TBD -

St. Gallen -

FCSB 3

FK Auda Riga 7

Aluminij 1

Dinamo City 4

TBD -

Zimbru Chisinau 2

Noah 3

BATE 1

Sion 5

Vojvodina 2

Ajax 8

Shelbourne 6

Kalju 4

Zeleznicar Pancevo 0

Braga 5

Neftci Baku 3

Din. Minsk 4

AEK Larnaca 3

Beitar Jerusalem 4

FK Liepaja 1

Austria Vienna 5

Twente -

TBD -

Dun. Streda 4

Velez Mostar 0

Dynamo Kyiv -

TBD -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan 5

UNA Strassen 0

FK Panevezys 2

Tobol 3

Lugano 6

Dukagjini 1

NSI Runavik 4

Koper 3

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Borac Banja Luka -

ML Vitebsk -

TBD -

Tre Fiori -

Drita -

Flora -

Inter Escaldes -

TBD -

Riga FC -

Gyor -

TBD -

HJK -

Motherwell -

TBD -

Freiburg -

TBD -

Monaco -

Inter Turku -

Vaduz -

Debrecen -

FC Copenhagen -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

Rapid Vienna -

CFR Cluj -

Tromso -

TBD -

Brighton -

Zalgiris -

Hajduk Split -

Rakow Czestochowa -

Hammarby -

Panathinaikos -

CSKA 1948 Sofia -

TBD -

IFK Goteborg -

Gent -

Hibernian -

Shkendija Tetovo -

TBD -

Brann -

Apollon Limassol -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

GKS Katowice -

Bohemians -

Midtjylland -

Rijeka -

Ilves -

TBD -

Jablonec -

RFS -

Valur -

Nordsjaelland -

Sheriff Tiraspol -

St. Gallen -

FK Auda Riga 1

Dinamo City 0

TBD -

Noah -

Sion -

Ajax -

Shelbourne -

Braga -

Din. Minsk -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Austria Vienna -

Twente -

Dun. Streda -

Dynamo Kyiv -

Qarabag Agdam -

Getafe -

TBD -

Partizan -

Tobol -

Lugano -

NSI Runavik -

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Freiburg -

TBD -

Monaco -

TBD -

Brighton -

TBD -

Atalanta -

TBD -

Getafe -

TBD -

Motherwell vs HJK

Europe

Motherwell

HJK

Spielzusammenfassung

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Modell-Vertrauen

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Formanalyse der Teams

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

Vorhersage-Engine

Smart Insights

Tor-Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell

HJK

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA