Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Montlucon is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Moulins-Yzeure, backed by a win probability of 60%. Moulins-Yzeure averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in recent matches. Montlucon shows a form average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Moulins-Yzeure, 1 wins for Montlucon, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 01.05.10 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.20 for Moulins-Yzeure and 1.00 for Montlucon, suggesting the primary value lies in the Montlucon double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Moulins-Yzeure hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Montlucon.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.20 vs. 1.00 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Moulins-Yzeure | Montlucon |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 32 | 30 |
| Siege | 8 | 11 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 8 |
| Niederlagen | 15 | 11 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.91 | 1.23 |
| Gegentore | 1.41 | 1.07 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Moulins-Yzeure
Montlucon
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Montlucon will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Moulins-Yzeure will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Montlucon's early runs.
Expect Montlucon to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Moulins-Yzeure tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Montlucon increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Moulins-Yzeure's defense, opening up opportunities for Montlucon's forward line.
Expect Montlucon to manage the closing stages, while Moulins-Yzeure searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Moulins-Yzeure have found the net in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Montlucon have conceded at least one goal in 63% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.60 goals per match.
Moulins-Yzeure remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Montlucon suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luzenac | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:26 | 103 |
| 2 | Moulins | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 56:41 | 96 |
| 3 | Pau | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 42:25 | 94 |
| 4 | Fontenay | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 37:32 | 91 |
| 5 | Moulins-Yzeure | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 60:43 | 88 |
| 6 | Bordeaux II | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 41:35 | 86 |
| 7 | Le Mans II | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 35:33 | 82 |
| 8 | Romorantin | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 49:49 | 82 |
| 9 | Lucon | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 39:37 | 81 |
| 10 | Aurillac | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 48:44 | 78 |
| 11 | Colomiers | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 33:32 | 75 |
| 12 | Montlucon | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 43:54 | 73 |
| 13 | Balma | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 47:54 | 70 |
| 14 | Albi | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 27:42 | 70 |
| 15 | Genets | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35:53 | 69 |
| 16 | Chatellerault | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 50:66 | 68 |
| 17 | Stade Bordelais | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 27:47 | 66 |
| 18 | Bergerac | 34 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 32:47 | 62 |