Sport Tipps
Nacional SP vs Mauaense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brasilien
Paulista A4 2023 
Spielzusammenfassung
Mauaense in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mauaense.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
30%
39%
31%
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
65%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Nacional SP lately — more wins on the board than Mauaense.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Paulista A4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 66.6%
Nacional SP Ohne Gegentor 16%
Mauaense Ohne Gegentor 17%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Nacional SP | Mauaense |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 32 | 34 |
| Siege | 9 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 14 |
| Niederlagen | 14 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| Gegentore | 1.19 | 1.21 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
24. Juni 2023 Paulista A4
Nacional SP vs Mauaense
1:3
20. Mai 2023 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Nacional SP
1:2
13. Sept. 2014 Paulista A4
Nacional SP vs Mauaense
0:2
6. Sept. 2014 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Nacional SP
2:4
31. Juli 2011 Paulista A4
Nacional SP vs Mauaense
3:4
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Nacional SP 30 / 100
Mauaense 31 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Nacional SP Mauaense
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Nacional SP Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Mauaense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.
Nacional SP went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Mauaense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
Nacional SP VS Mauaense
0.88 Erzielte Tore 1.13
1.75 Kassierte Tore 0.88
75% Über 1.5 63%
38% Über 2.5 25%
38% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nacional SP
(Home) 04 Apr
Nacional SP
0 : 1 Inter de Bebedouro
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0 Nacional SP
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0 ECUS SP
21 Mar
Nacional SP
4 : 1 Colorado Caieiras
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3 Nacional SP
Page 1 of 7
04 Apr
Nacional SP
0 : 1 Inter de Bebedouro
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0 ECUS SP
21 Mar
Nacional SP
4 : 1 Colorado Caieiras
14 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 2 Penapolense
04 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 4 Taquaritinga
Page 1 of 4
Mauaense
(Away) 20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
13 Jun
Mauaense
0 : 1 Uniao Mogi
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1 Mauaense
23 May
Mauaense
1 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 7
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
06 Jun
Barcelona SP
0 : 2 Mauaense
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1 Mauaense
10 May
Uniao Mogi
0 : 1 Mauaense
19 Apr
Itaqua
1 : 0 Mauaense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penapolense | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Vocem | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 23:6 | 24 |
| 3 | Tanabi | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Fernandopolis | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:15 | 13 |
| 5 | Tupa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 6 | Santacruzense | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taquaritinga | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Francana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Catanduva FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 4 | America SP | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Inter de Bebedouro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 6 | Batatais | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 7 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XV de Jau | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Sao-Carlense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Independente SP | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4:14 | 6 |
| 6 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:21 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SKA Brasil | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Uniao Barbarense | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 4 | Amparo SP | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 13 |
| 5 | Paulista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 6 | Colorado Caieiras | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:20 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Guarulhos | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Jacarei FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 16 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 5 | Atletico Mogi | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 6 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jabaquara | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Nacional SP | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Maua FC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | 13 |
| 5 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5:6 | 13 |
| 6 | ECUS SP | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7:21 | -2 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Second stage)
