Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Ayvalikgucu is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Nazillispor, backed by a win probability of 74%. Nazillispor averages 0.2 goals scored and 3.9 conceded in recent matches. Ayvalikgucu shows a form average of 1.9 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Nazillispor, 3 wins for Ayvalikgucu, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 10.01.26 ended in a 1:8 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.51 for Nazillispor and 3.44 for Ayvalikgucu, suggesting the primary value lies in the Ayvalikgucu double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Nazillispor hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Ayvalikgucu.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.51 vs. 3.44 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 56%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Nazillispor | Ayvalikgucu |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 31 |
| Siege | 0 | 20 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 26 | 6 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.23 | 1.94 |
| Gegentore | 3.93 | 0.71 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.14 | 1.75 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 5.14 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Nazillispor
Ayvalikgucu
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Nazillispor Vergleich
Ayvalikgucu Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Ayvalikgucu will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Nazillispor will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Ayvalikgucu's early runs.
Expect Ayvalikgucu to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Nazillispor tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Ayvalikgucu increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Nazillispor's defense, opening up opportunities for Ayvalikgucu's forward line.
Expect Ayvalikgucu to manage the closing stages, while Nazillispor searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Nazillispor have found the net in 20% of their last 30 matches.
Ayvalikgucu have conceded at least one goal in 55% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 5.40 goals per match.
Nazillispor remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Ayvalikgucu suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kutahyaspor | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 69:18 | 75 |
| 2 | Eskisehirspor | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 74:18 | 71 |
| 3 | Karsiyaka | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:19 | 67 |
| 4 | Ayvalikgucu | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Balikesirspor | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:24 | 58 |
| 6 | Usak Belediyespor Kulubu | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 48 |
| 7 | Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:33 | 47 |
| 8 | Alanya 1221 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:33 | 38 |
| 9 | Tire 2021 FK | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 47:39 | 37 |
| 10 | Soke 1970 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 39:43 | 35 |
| 11 | Eskisehir Anadolu | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:42 | 35 |
| 12 | Altay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 13 | Izmir Coruhlu | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:66 | 23 |
| 14 | Afyonspor | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31:61 | 22 |
| 15 | Bornova 1877 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 35:68 | 21 |
| 16 | Nazillispor | 30 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 7:118 | 4 |