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North District vs Kowloon City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield
So., 25. Okt. 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Senior Shield. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. North District have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Kowloon City's 1.34 scored and 1.9 conceded. Past meetings favor North District slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 17. Jan. 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.19 - 1.44) back North District to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
North District
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Kowloon City
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: North District

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • North District carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives North District a 90% chance of winning this.
  • North District have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor North District, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 81%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 81%
Über 3.5 Tore 50.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 23%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 80.2%
North District Ohne Gegentor 16%
Kowloon City Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik North District Kowloon City
Spiele 30 29
Siege 13 11
Unentschieden 9 4
Niederlagen 8 14
Erzielte Tore 2.13 1.34
Gegentore 1.6 1.9
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.19 1.44
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

17. Jan. 2026 Premier League
North District vs Kowloon City
2:1
19. Okt. 2025 Premier League
Kowloon City vs North District
2:2
30. März 2025 Premier League
Kowloon City vs North District
3:4
12. Jan. 2025 Premier League
North District vs Kowloon City
3:1
15. Sept. 2024 Premier League
North District vs Kowloon City
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

North District 84 / 100
Kowloon City 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
North District Kowloon City

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp North District Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

North District's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kowloon City conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

North District went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

North District VS Kowloon City
2.38 Erzielte Tore 1.5
1.38 Kassierte Tore 2
88% Über 1.5 100%
75% Über 2.5 88%
63% Über 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North District

(Home)
18 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 1
North District
09 Oct
Eastern AA
1 : 3
North District
01 Oct
North District
2 : 1
Southern District
13 Sept
North District
5 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
06 Sept
Shatin
0 : 5
North District
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Kowloon City

(Away)
10 Oct
Tai Po
1 : 1
Kowloon City
04 Oct
Kowloon City
1 : 2
Eastern District
19 Sept
Kowloon City
4 : 1
Hong Kong FC
13 Sept
Shatin
2 : 3
Kowloon City
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Kitchee -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
Southern District 2
Eastern District 1
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
Shatin 0
Lee Man Warriors 1
North District -
TBD -
Kowloon City 4
Hong Kong FC 1
Quarter-finals
Tai Po -
Kitchee -
Eastern AA -
Southern District -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Lee Man Warriors -
North District -
Kowloon City -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -