Sport Tipps
North Ferriby United vs Marine
England
NPL Premier Division 2018/2019 
Spielzusammenfassung
Marine is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to North Ferriby United, backed by a win probability of 70%. North Ferriby United averages 0.7 goals scored and 3.1 conceded in recent matches. Marine shows a form average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for North Ferriby United, 1 wins for Marine, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 05.01.19 ended in a 0:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.54 for North Ferriby United and 1.49 for Marine, suggesting the primary value lies in the Marine double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- North Ferriby United hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Marine.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.54 vs. 1.49 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 65%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | North Ferriby United | Marine |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 21 | 31 |
| Siege | 1 | 13 |
| Unentschieden | 1 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 19 | 13 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.71 | 1.52 |
| Gegentore | 3.1 | 1.52 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
North Ferriby United
Marine
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
North Ferriby United Vergleich
Marine Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Marine will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
North Ferriby United will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Marine's early runs.
Expect Marine to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as North Ferriby United tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Marine increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for North Ferriby United's defense, opening up opportunities for Marine's forward line.
Expect Marine to manage the closing stages, while North Ferriby United searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
North Ferriby United have found the net in 52% of their last 21 matches.
Marine have conceded at least one goal in 74% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.80 goals per match.
North Ferriby United remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Marine suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Farsley | 40 | 28 | 6 | 6 | 82:40 | 90 |
| 2 | South Shields | 40 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 86:41 | 87 |
| 3 | Warrington Town | 40 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 69:33 | 84 |
| 4 | Nantwich | 40 | 19 | 12 | 9 | 70:59 | 69 |
| 5 | Buxton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 60:45 | 66 |
| 6 | Gainsborough | 40 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 53:41 | 65 |
| 7 | Basford Utd. | 40 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 82:67 | 61 |
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 40 | 18 | 7 | 15 | 70:56 | 61 |
| 9 | Witton Albion | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 45:41 | 58 |
| 10 | Hyde | 40 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 58:53 | 53 |
| 11 | Whitby | 40 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 48:59 | 49 |
| 12 | Lancaster | 40 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 42:61 | 49 |
| 13 | Hednesford | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 51:63 | 48 |
| 14 | Stafford | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 62:70 | 47 |
| 15 | Matlock | 40 | 12 | 8 | 20 | 58:79 | 44 |
| 16 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 62:67 | 42 |
| 17 | Stalybridge | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 46:62 | 42 |
| 18 | Grantham Town | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 39:72 | 42 |
| 19 | Mickleover | 40 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 37:61 | 41 |
| 20 | Marine | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 39:54 | 40 |
| 21 | Workington | 40 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 38:73 | 29 |
| 22 | North Ferriby United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |