Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
The Paulista A4 2011 game between Ole Brasil and Americo EC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ole Brasil.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Ole Brasil
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Ole Brasil carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Ole Brasil a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 98%
Über 1.5 Tore 87.5%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 62.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 28%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73.4%
Ole Brasil Ohne Gegentor 15%
Americo EC Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Ole Brasil | Americo EC |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 31 |
| Siege | 13 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 5 | 12 |
| Niederlagen | 12 | 10 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.53 | 1.42 |
| Gegentore | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
24. Juli 2011 Paulista A4
Americo EC vs Ole Brasil
3:1
4. Juni 2011 Paulista A4
Ole Brasil vs Americo EC
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Ole Brasil 84 / 100
Americo EC 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Ole Brasil Americo EC
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Ole Brasil Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Ole Brasil found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Americo EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.
Ole Brasil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Ole Brasil VS Americo EC
1.5 Erzielte Tore 2
1.13 Kassierte Tore 2.5
75% Über 1.5 100%
50% Über 2.5 100%
25% Über 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Ole Brasil
(Home) 16 Aug
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 0 Ole Brasil
08 Aug
Ole Brasil
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
01 Aug
Ole Brasil
6 : 0 Desportivo
26 Jul
Amparo SP
1 : 2 Ole Brasil
19 Jul
Palmeirinha SP
1 : 1 Ole Brasil
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Ole Brasil
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
01 Aug
Ole Brasil
6 : 0 Desportivo
11 Jul
Ole Brasil
1 : 0 Barcelona SP
27 Jun
Ole Brasil
3 : 2 Olimpia FC
13 Jun
Ole Brasil
0 : 1 Inter de Bebedouro
Page 1 of 3
Americo EC
(Away) 18 Aug
Americo EC
2 : 2 Tupa
14 Aug
Cotia
3 : 2 Americo EC
10 Aug
Lemense
1 : 1 Americo EC
03 Aug
Americo EC
1 : 3 Lemense
31 Jul
Americo EC
1 : 1 Cotia
Page 1 of 7
14 Aug
Cotia
3 : 2 Americo EC
10 Aug
Lemense
1 : 1 Americo EC
26 Jul
Tupa
2 : 1 Americo EC
14 Jul
Radium
0 : 2 Americo EC
02 Jun
XV de Jau
1 : 1 Americo EC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Votuporanguense | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:14 | 20 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Fernandopolis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tupa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Tanabi | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 8:13 | 11 |
| 7 | Assisense | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:21 | 10 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barretos EC | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 25:12 | 26 |
| 2 | Guariba | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 3 | Ole Brasil | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 21 |
| 4 | Olimpia FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Jaboticabal Atletico | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 26:22 | 18 |
| 6 | Americo EC | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 21:31 | 7 |
| 7 | Matonense | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:36 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 17:3 | 26 |
| 2 | Palmeirinha SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Guacuano | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Brasilis | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:12 | 14 |
| 5 | Sao Judas Tadeu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 6 | Lencoense | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9:33 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportivo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 2 | Sumare | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Cotia | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 27:23 | 23 |
| 4 | Capivariano | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 30:20 | 21 |
| 5 | Primavera EC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17:15 | 20 |
| 6 | SKA Brasil | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Lemense | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16:30 | 14 |
| 8 | Elosport | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:29 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarulhos | 14 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 27:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Jacarei (Inactive) | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 21:13 | 27 |
| 3 | FC Primeira Camisa | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 25:13 | 24 |
| 4 | ECUS SP | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 12:15 | 20 |
| 5 | Uniao Suzano | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Jacarei FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Manthiqueira | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 8 | Uniao Mogi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13:28 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa Santista | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 21:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Sao Vicente | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29:19 | 29 |
| 3 | EC Sao Bernardo | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Guaruja | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 27:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Jabaquara | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21:24 | 21 |
| 7 | Nacional SP | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16:32 | 5 |
| 8 | Palestra | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8:38 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2011 (Second stage)
