Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein encounter between Phonix Lubeck B and VfR Neumunster promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Phonix Lubeck B averages 2.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded in recent matches. VfR Neumunster shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking threats recently, hinting at a potentially open and high-scoring contest. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Phonix Lubeck B, 0 wins for VfR Neumunster, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 22.03.26 ended in a 3:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.13 for Phonix Lubeck B and 2.63 for VfR Neumunster, suggesting the primary value lies in the Phonix Lubeck B double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Phonix Lubeck B hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als VfR Neumunster.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (2.13 vs. 2.63 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 89%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Phonix Lubeck B | VfR Neumunster |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 12 | 14 |
| Unentschieden | 6 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 12 | 11 |
| Erzielte Tore | 2.1 | 1.97 |
| Gegentore | 2.33 | 2 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.88 | 2.00 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 3.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Phonix Lubeck B
VfR Neumunster
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Phonix Lubeck B have found the net in 73% of their last 30 matches.
VfR Neumunster have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 5.50 goals per match.
Phonix Lubeck B remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.
VfR Neumunster suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Todesfelde | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 80:24 | 77 |
| 2 | Holstein Kiel II | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 83:26 | 65 |
| 3 | Kilia Kiel | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 87:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Eichede | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 59:30 | 59 |
| 5 | VfR Neumunster | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 61:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Heider SV | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 59:58 | 47 |
| 7 | PSV Neumunster | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 68:62 | 44 |
| 8 | Phonix Lubeck B | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 63:70 | 42 |
| 9 | Nordmark Satrup | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 44:51 | 40 |
| 10 | Kaltenkirchener | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 49:53 | 36 |
| 11 | Rotenhof | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 51:70 | 34 |
| 12 | Hohenwestedt | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 48:64 | 29 |
| 13 | Oldenburger SV | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 61:86 | 29 |
| 14 | Eutin 08 | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32:65 | 27 |
| 15 | Inter Turkspor Kiel | 30 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 31:77 | 20 |
| 16 | Preussen Reinfeld | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 38:86 | 16 |