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Politehnica UTM vs FC Chisinau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup
Di., 27. Okt. 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Moldovan Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Politehnica UTM at 1.68 goals for, 1.57 against; FC Chisinau at 0.67 for, 1.67 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.19, favoring Politehnica UTM. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

60%
Politehnica UTM
22%
Unentschieden
18%
FC Chisinau
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Politehnica UTM

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

82% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • FC Chisinau haven't matched Politehnica UTM's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Politehnica UTM taking it.
  • Politehnica UTM have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 12.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73%
Politehnica UTM Ohne Gegentor 20%
FC Chisinau Ohne Gegentor 16%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Politehnica UTM FC Chisinau
Spiele 28 3
Siege 11 1
Unentschieden 8 0
Niederlagen 9 2
Erzielte Tore 1.68 0.67
Gegentore 1.57 1.67
Erwartete Tore (xG) 0.94 1.19
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Politehnica UTM 58 / 100
FC Chisinau 19 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Politehnica UTM FC Chisinau

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Politehnica UTM Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

FC Chisinau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

Politehnica UTM scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Politehnica UTM went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Chisinau lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

Politehnica UTM VS FC Chisinau
1.38 Erzielte Tore 1
1.38 Kassierte Tore 0.5
88% Über 1.5 50%
50% Über 2.5 50%
25% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Politehnica UTM

(Home)
18 Oct
CSF Balti
1 : 4
Politehnica UTM
11 Oct
Milsami
3 : 3
Politehnica UTM
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
Page 1 of 6

FC Chisinau

(Away)
02 Sept
Stauceni
1 : 2
FC Chisinau
25 Sept
Barsa Ungheni
2 : 0
FC Chisinau
29 Aug
FC Chisinau
0 : 2
Speranis

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CSF Balti -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
Tarigrad 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Stauceni 1
FC Chisinau 2
Milsami -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 9
Olimp Comrat 0
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
National Ialoveni 1
FC Congaz 2
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Floresti 0
Edinet 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Oguzsport 2
Vulturii Cutezatori 1
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Sparta Selemet 0
Univer Comrat 3
Real Sireti -
TBD -
Victoria 5
Falesti 3
1/8-finals
CSF Balti -
Iskra Ribnita -
Politehnica UTM -
FC Chisinau -
Milsami -
FCM Ungheni -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
FC Congaz -
Petrocub Hincesti -
Edinet -
Zimbru Chisinau -
Oguzsport -
Dacia Buiucani -
Univer Comrat -
Real Sireti -
Victoria -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -