Sport Tipps
Referencia U20 vs Sao Bento U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brasilien
Paulista U20 2025 
Spielereignisse
35'
35'
Moura R.
41'
41'
Kaue Leal
45'
45'
Kaue Leal
Spielzusammenfassung
Referencia U20 in this Paulista U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Referencia U20.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Referencia U20
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Referencia U20 lately — more wins on the board than Sao Bento U20.
- Referencia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Paulista U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- Referencia U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 72.6%
Referencia U20 Ohne Gegentor 14%
Sao Bento U20 Ohne Gegentor 12%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Referencia U20 | Sao Bento U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 32 |
| Siege | 9 | 6 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 6 |
| Niederlagen | 14 | 20 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.2 | 1.16 |
| Gegentore | 1.5 | 2.06 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
6. Aug. 2025 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Sao Bento U20
5:1
3. Sept. 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Bento U20 vs Referencia U20
2:4
30. Aug. 2024 Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Sao Bento U20
2:2
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Referencia U20 Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Kaue Leal
3 Tore Top-Vorlagengeber Moura R.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 0.92
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.59
Sao Bento U20 Vergleich
Top-Torschütze Gomes Castanho C.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.48
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Referencia U20 84 / 100
Sao Bento U20 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Referencia U20 Sao Bento U20
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Referencia U20 Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.
Referencia U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Sao Bento U20 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.
Referencia U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Referencia U20 VS Sao Bento U20
0.5 Erzielte Tore 1.5
1.75 Kassierte Tore 1.88
63% Über 1.5 88%
38% Über 2.5 75%
13% Über 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Referencia U20
(Home) 12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0 Maua FC U20
04 Sept
Tanabi U20
0 : 2 Referencia U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2 Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0 Sfera U20
11 Aug
XV de Jau U20
2 : 1 Referencia U20
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Referencia U20
2 : 0 Maua FC U20
21 Aug
Referencia U20
0 : 2 Palmeiras U20
14 Aug
Referencia U20
1 : 0 Sfera U20
31 Jul
Referencia U20
0 : 1 Guarani U20
05 Jul
Referencia U20
1 : 4 Bragantino U20
Page 1 of 4
Sao Bento U20
(Away) 12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0 Sao Bento U20
04 Sept
Sao Bento U20
0 : 0 Corinthians U20
21 Aug
Portuguesa Santista U20
1 : 0 Sao Bento U20
14 Aug
Sao Bento U20
1 : 2 Portuguesa U20
07 Aug
Santos U20
5 : 2 Sao Bento U20
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0 Sao Bento U20
21 Aug
Portuguesa Santista U20
1 : 0 Sao Bento U20
07 Aug
Santos U20
5 : 2 Sao Bento U20
31 Jul
Itapirense U20
2 : 1 Sao Bento U20
10 Jul
CA Juventus U20
3 : 1 Sao Bento U20
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 61:11 | 37 |
| 2 | Bragantino U20 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 36:11 | 35 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo U20 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 36:13 | 35 |
| 4 | Guarani U20 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28:13 | 34 |
| 5 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 33:13 | 33 |
| 6 | Novorizontino U20 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 36:16 | 33 |
| 7 | Portuguesa U20 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33:15 | 31 |
| 8 | Ituano U20 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 37:12 | 30 |
| 9 | Ibrachina U20 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31:15 | 30 |
| 10 | Ferroviaria U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:18 | 29 |
| 11 | Santos U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:19 | 29 |
| 12 | CA Juventus U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 15:10 | 29 |
| 13 | Corinthians U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:25 | 29 |
| 14 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta U20 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 33:19 | 28 |
| 16 | Santo Andre U20 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26:26 | 25 |
| 17 | Osasco Sporting U20 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:17 | 25 |
| 18 | Capivariano U20 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 24 |
| 19 | XV de Jau U20 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:23 | 22 |
| 20 | Piracicaba U20 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 21 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 22 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 22 |
| 23 | Mirassol U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 24 | Osasco Audax U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27:25 | 21 |
| 25 | Sao Caetano U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 26 | Referencia U20 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 25:26 | 21 |
| 27 | Botafogo SP U20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 28 | Internacional de Limeira U20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 29 | Desportivo U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:25 | 18 |
| 30 | Maua FC U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 31 | CA Bandeirante U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:25 | 18 |
| 32 | Itapirense U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:26 | 18 |
| 33 | Sertaozinho U20 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 34 | Tanabi U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 16 |
| 35 | Agua Santa U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20:28 | 16 |
| 36 | Velo Clube U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16:26 | 16 |
| 37 | Sao Bento U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:29 | 15 |
| 38 | Aguai U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 39 | Jabaquara U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:30 | 15 |
| 40 | Sfera U20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 41 | Flamengo SP U20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:32 | 14 |
| 42 | AC Guaratingueta U20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12:35 | 11 |
| 43 | Uniao Sao Joao U20 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:33 | 10 |
| 44 | Comercial FC - Tiete U20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 20:36 | 9 |
| 45 | Taubate U20 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 46 | Sao Jose EC U20 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14:40 | 6 |
| 47 | Aracatuba FC U20 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14:48 | 6 |
| 48 | Rio Claro U20 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8:46 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 33:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Novorizontino U20 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 36:16 | 33 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:18 | 29 |
| 4 | Santos U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:19 | 29 |
| 5 | CA Juventus U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 15:10 | 29 |
| 6 | Ponte Preta U20 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 33:19 | 28 |
| 7 | Mirassol U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Osasco Audax U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27:25 | 21 |
| 9 | Sao Caetano U20 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Internacional de Limeira U20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Itapirense U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:26 | 18 |
| 12 | Velo Clube U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16:26 | 16 |
| 13 | Aguai U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 14 | Sfera U20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 15 | Taubate U20 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10:33 | 8 |
| 16 | Sao Jose EC U20 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14:40 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 61:11 | 37 |
| 2 | Bragantino U20 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 36:11 | 35 |
| 3 | Portuguesa U20 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33:15 | 31 |
| 4 | Ituano U20 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 37:12 | 30 |
| 5 | Corinthians U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:25 | 29 |
| 6 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 7 | Santo Andre U20 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 26:26 | 25 |
| 8 | Referencia U20 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 25:26 | 21 |
| 9 | Botafogo SP U20 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Sertaozinho U20 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Agua Santa U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20:28 | 16 |
| 12 | Sao Bento U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:29 | 15 |
| 13 | Jabaquara U20 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16:30 | 15 |
| 14 | Uniao Sao Joao U20 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13:33 | 10 |
| 15 | Aracatuba FC U20 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14:48 | 6 |
| 16 | Rio Claro U20 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8:46 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo U20 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 36:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Guarani U20 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 28:13 | 34 |
| 3 | Ibrachina U20 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting U20 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:17 | 25 |
| 5 | Capivariano U20 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 24 |
| 6 | XV de Jau U20 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:23 | 22 |
| 7 | Piracicaba U20 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 8 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 9 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 22 |
| 10 | Desportivo U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:25 | 18 |
| 11 | Maua FC U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 12 | CA Bandeirante U20 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 18:25 | 18 |
| 13 | Tanabi U20 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Flamengo SP U20 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:32 | 14 |
| 15 | AC Guaratingueta U20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12:35 | 11 |
| 16 | Comercial FC - Tiete U20 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 20:36 | 9 |
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)
