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Rezekne vs Marienburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2015/2016
Di., 7. Juli 2015
VS
04:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2015/2016. Marienburg are expected to control this from the start. Rezekne have averaged 1.22 scored and 2.59 conceded recently, against Marienburg's 0.33 scored and 3.67 conceded. Past meetings favor Rezekne slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 7. Juli 2015, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.81, favoring Marienburg. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

31%
Rezekne
39%
Unentschieden
30%
Marienburg
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

65% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Look at the last few games and Rezekne come out ahead of Marienburg on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Rezekne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 74.6%
Rezekne Ohne Gegentor 11%
Marienburg Ohne Gegentor 14%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Rezekne Marienburg
Spiele 32 3
Siege 6 0
Unentschieden 4 0
Niederlagen 22 3
Erzielte Tore 1.22 0.33
Gegentore 2.59 3.67
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.04 1.81
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

7. Juli 2015 Latvian Cup
Rezekne vs Marienburg
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Rezekne 30 / 100
Marienburg 30 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Rezekne Marienburg

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Marienburg Win (2)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Marienburg has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Rezekne scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Marienburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Tor-Trends

Rezekne VS -
0.88 Erzielte Tore 0
2.63 Kassierte Tore 0
88% Über 1.5 0%
88% Über 2.5 0%
50% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rezekne

(Home)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 7

Marienburg

(Away)
07 Jul
Rezekne
:
Marienburg
19 Jun
Bebri
8 : 0
Marienburg
22 Jun
Marienburg
1 : 3
FK Dobele

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
TBD -
Super Nova 0
Grobina 3
Saldus -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adazi -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortuna -
FK Bandava -
TBD -
TBD -
Salaspils FK -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Lacplesis -
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 4
Ludzas NSS 1
TBD -
Ogre -
Lielupe 2
Priekuli 1
TBD -
Valmiera -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
Marienburg -
Riga United 3
Rinuzi 0
TBD -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
Bebri -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Preilu BJSS -
TBD -
Nica FC 1
Kuldigas NSS 3
JFC Dobele -
TBD -
TBD -
Compact.LV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS 10
Grobina 0
Saldus 0
Riga FC 5
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
Adazi 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Upesciems 6
Fortuna 1
FK Bandava 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Lacplesis 0
Balvu SC 1
Monarhs 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 3
Ogre 0
Lielupe 0
Valmiera 7
Rezekne -
Marienburg -
Riga United 1
Jekabpils SC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
FK Alberts 0
Bebri 1
Alberts JDFS 3
Preilu BJSS 4
Kuldigas NSS 0
JFC Dobele 0
Compact.LV 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
AFA Olaine 5
Tukums 2000 2
FK Smiltene 1
SK Babite 3
FK Liepaja -
TBD -
Upesciems 0
Salaspils FK 3
FK Auda Riga 3
Monarhs 1
TBD -
Ventspils -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
SK Kalnciema Lideris 1
Valmiera 10
Rezekne 2
Jekabpils SC 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Skonto -
TBD -
FK Dobele 1
Alberts JDFS 8
Preilu BJSS 5
Compact.LV 2
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 1
Riga FC 0
AFA Olaine 0
SK Babite 1
FK Liepaja 4
Salaspils FK 0
FK Auda Riga 0
Ventspils 7
BFC Daugavpils 2
Valmiera 0
Rezekne 0
FK Metta 4
Skonto 4
Alberts JDFS 0
Preilu BJSS 1
Spartaks Jurmala 6
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 3
SK Babite 2
FK Liepaja 0
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Metta 0
Skonto 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
Semi-finals
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Final
Jelgava 1
Spartaks Jurmala 0