Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Francana W is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Rio Branco SP W, backed by a win probability of 64%. Rio Branco SP W averages 0.7 goals scored and 4.1 conceded in recent matches. Francana W shows a form average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Rio Branco SP W, 1 wins for Francana W, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 11.06.17 ended in a 2:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.50 for Rio Branco SP W and 2.40 for Francana W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Francana W double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Rio Branco SP W hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Francana W.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.50 vs. 2.40 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 76%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Rio Branco SP W | Francana W |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 14 | 30 |
| Siege | 0 | 7 |
| Unentschieden | 1 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 13 | 19 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.71 | 1.1 |
| Gegentore | 4.07 | 2.7 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.50 | 1.63 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 3.17 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Rio Branco SP W
Francana W
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Francana W will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Rio Branco SP W will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Francana W's early runs.
Expect Francana W to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Rio Branco SP W tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Francana W increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Rio Branco SP W's defense, opening up opportunities for Francana W's forward line.
Expect Francana W to manage the closing stages, while Rio Branco SP W searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Rio Branco SP W have found the net in 50% of their last 14 matches.
Francana W have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.50 goals per match.
Rio Branco SP W remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Francana W suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Preto W | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 55:10 | 39 |
| 2 | Ponte Preta W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32:18 | 29 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 42:13 | 28 |
| 4 | Osasco Audax W | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26:21 | 23 |
| 5 | Piracicaba W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 33:19 | 19 |
| 6 | Francana W | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:49 | 11 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP W | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 8:29 | 9 |
| 8 | Rio Branco SP W | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10:57 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corinthians W | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 70:6 | 38 |
| 2 | Santos W | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 41:6 | 38 |
| 3 | Sao Jose W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Portuguesa W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 5 | Embu Das Artes W | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 6 | Taubate W | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10:33 | 10 |
| 7 | CA Juventus W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8:32 | 9 |
| 8 | Centro Olimpico W | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10:64 | 6 |