Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
The Pacific Games Women game between Samoa W and Tonga W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samoa W.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
70%
17%
13%
Unentschieden-Quote: 17% Favorit: Samoa W
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
88%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Samoa W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Samoa W a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Pacific Games Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
- History favors Samoa W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 88%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 19%
Über 4.5 Tore 9%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 64.6%
Samoa W Ohne Gegentor 20%
Tonga W Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Samoa W | Tonga W |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 33 | 30 |
| Siege | 15 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 3 | 2 |
| Niederlagen | 15 | 20 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.52 | 1.17 |
| Gegentore | 1.94 | 3.47 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.94 | 1.00 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
13. Feb. 2024 Olympic Games Women
Tonga W vs Samoa W
0:2
24. Nov. 2023 Pacific Games Women
Samoa W vs Tonga W
4:1
13. Juli 2022 OFC Nations Cup Women
Samoa W vs Tonga W
2:0
8. Juli 2019 Pacific Games Women
Samoa W vs Tonga W
5:0
6. Juli 2015 Pacific Games Women
Tonga W vs Samoa W
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Samoa W 67 / 100
Tonga W 14 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Samoa W Tonga W
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Samoa W Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Tonga W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Samoa W scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Difficult form: Tonga W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
Samoa W VS Tonga W
1.38 Erzielte Tore 0.38
1.63 Kassierte Tore 2.5
88% Über 1.5 88%
63% Über 2.5 75%
25% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Samoa W
(Home) 05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1 Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
American Samoa W
1 : 0 Samoa W
27 Feb
New Zealand W
8 : 0 Samoa W
19 Jul
Fiji W
0 : 2 Samoa W
16 Jul
Solomon Islands W
2 : 1 Samoa W
Page 1 of 7
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1 Solomon Islands W
10 Jul
Samoa W
3 : 1 Tahiti W
07 Feb
Samoa W
1 : 0 Vanuatu W
01 Dec
Samoa W
1 : 3 New Caledonia W
24 Nov
Samoa W
4 : 1 Tonga W
Page 1 of 3
Tonga W
(Away) 02 Dec
Tonga W
4 : 1 Tahiti W
28 Nov
Tonga W
0 : 3 American Samoa W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1 Tonga W
11 Jul
Solomon Islands W
5 : 0 Tonga W
08 Jul
Fiji W
3 : 0 Tonga W
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1 Tonga W
11 Jul
Solomon Islands W
5 : 0 Tonga W
08 Jul
Fiji W
3 : 0 Tonga W
10 Feb
Vanuatu W
1 : 2 Tonga W
07 Feb
New Zealand W
3 : 0 Tonga W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Papua New Guinea W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 7 |
| 2 | New Caledonia W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Cook Islands W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 4 | American Samoa W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:16 | 0 |
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Samoa W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Tahiti W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 3 | Tonga W | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiji W | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Solomon Islands W | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Vanuatu W | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
