Sport Tipps
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Next Pro PayPal Park, San Jose, CA 
Spielereignisse
46'
46'
Wechsel
Carli E. Rein: Bell M.
Raus: Carli E.
64'
64'
Mendoza E.
(Elfmeter)
69'
69'
Gnaulati X.
Spielzusammenfassung
The MLS Next Pro game between San Jose Earthquakes II and Tacoma Defiance finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacoma Defiance.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
60%
22%
18%
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: San Jose Earthquakes II
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
82%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Tacoma Defiance come out ahead of San Jose Earthquakes II on wins alone.
- Model gives San Jose Earthquakes II a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 82%).
- History favors Tacoma Defiance here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 94%
Über 2.5 Tore 82%
Über 3.5 Tore 31.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 14%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 73.4%
San Jose Earthquakes II Ohne Gegentor 10%
Tacoma Defiance Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | San Jose Earthquakes II | Tacoma Defiance |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 14 | 15 |
| Unentschieden | 0 | 0 |
| Niederlagen | 15 | 14 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.93 | 1.66 |
| Gegentore | 1.48 | 1.62 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
6. Sept. 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
1:2
13. Juli 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
0:1
15. März 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:0
28. Sept. 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Tacoma Defiance
0:1
4. Juli 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs San Jose Earthquakes II
5:4
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
San Jose Earthquakes II Vergleich
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.25
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.81
Tacoma Defiance Vergleich
Top-Torschütze O'Neill M.
1 Tore Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.71
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
San Jose Earthquakes II 56 / 100
Tacoma Defiance 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
San Jose Earthquakes II Tacoma Defiance
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp San Jose Earthquakes II Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Attacking prowess: San Jose Earthquakes II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Tacoma Defiance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
San Jose Earthquakes II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tor-Trends
San Jose Earthquakes II VS Tacoma Defiance
1.13 Erzielte Tore 2
1.75 Kassierte Tore 2.13
88% Über 1.5 100%
75% Über 2.5 100%
13% Über 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Jose Earthquakes II
(Home) 20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0 Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3 Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2 Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0 Real Monarchs
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3 Ventura County
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 2 Los Angeles FC 2
17 Aug
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 2 St. Louis City 2
Page 1 of 3
Tacoma Defiance
(Away) 20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1 Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0 Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0 Tacoma Defiance
17 Aug
Los Angeles FC 2
4 : 3 Tacoma Defiance
09 Aug
North Texas
3 : 1 Tacoma Defiance
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 3 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 5 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 6 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 5 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 67:39 | 58 |
| 2 | Chattanooga | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 56:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Atlanta United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 62:46 | 48 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew 2 | 28 | 17 | 0 | 11 | 49:43 | 48 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 47:42 | 48 |
| 6 | New York City II | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 50:44 | 47 |
| 7 | CT United FC | 28 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 59:52 | 46 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls II | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 58:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Huntsville City | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Orlando City B | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 55:56 | 44 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 48:56 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 28 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 50:48 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 40:53 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 32:62 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 28 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 30:74 | 15 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 28 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 54:21 | 65 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers 2 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 37:29 | 57 |
| 3 | Ventura County | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 58:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 28 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 53:33 | 52 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 28 | 15 | 0 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 50:48 | 45 |
| 7 | St. Louis City 2 | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 51:36 | 42 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 40:44 | 41 |
| 10 | North Texas | 28 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 42:41 | 40 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 28 | 12 | 0 | 16 | 38:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 18 | 39:62 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 28 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 36:75 | 23 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 28:52 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)
