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Senegal vs Iraq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Championship 2026 BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Unser Tipp

Spielereignisse

4' Event
Diarra H.
Vorlage: Seck A.
13'
Sulaka R.
16'
Wechsel
Qasem A. Rein: Younis M.
Raus: Qasem A.

Spielzusammenfassung

Senegal in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Senegal.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

90%
Senegal
6%
Unentschieden
4%
Iraq
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Senegal

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

95% / Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
  • Senegal have won more games recently than Iraq.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Senegal taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 99%
Über 1.5 Tore 88%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 50%
Über 4.5 Tore 23%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 28%
Senegal Ohne Gegentor 68%
Iraq Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Senegal Iraq
Spiele 32 30
Siege 19 12
Unentschieden 6 6
Niederlagen 7 12
Erzielte Tore 1.97 0.97
Gegentore 0.84 1.4
Erwartete Tore (xG) 2.13 1.19
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

26. Juni 2026 World Championship
Senegal vs Iraq
5:0

Schlüsselspieler-Analyse

Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen

Senegal Vergleich

Top-Torschütze Gueye P.
2 Tore
Top-Vorlagengeber Diarra H.
1 Ast
Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.64
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 1.06

Iraq Vergleich

Durchschnitt xG / Spiel 1.08
Durchschnitt xA / Spiel 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Senegal 95 / 100
Iraq 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Senegal Iraq

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Senegal Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Senegal found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Iraq has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Senegal remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tor-Trends

Senegal VS Iraq
2.13 Erzielte Tore 0.75
1.63 Kassierte Tore 2.13
88% Über 1.5 88%
75% Über 2.5 50%
75% Über 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal

(Home)
04 Oct
Comoros
0 : 1
Senegal
29 Sept
Ethiopia
0 : 1
Senegal
25 Sept
Mozambique
1 : 1
Senegal
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
Page 1 of 7

Iraq

(Away)
29 Sept
Saudi Arabia
2 : 0
Iraq
26 Sept
Kuwait
2 : 3
Iraq
23 Sept
Iraq
1 : 1
Oman
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
22 Jun
France
3 : 0
Iraq
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Turkey 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Curacao 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 10:4 7
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 7:7 4
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Cape Verde 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 D.R. Congo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams