Sport Tipps
Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
Spielzusammenfassung
Septemvri Simitli in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Simitli.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Septemvri Simitli
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Septemvri Simitli have won more games recently than Kostinbrod.
- Model gives Septemvri Simitli a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 25%
Über 4.5 Tore 11%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 69.8%
Septemvri Simitli Ohne Gegentor 20%
Kostinbrod Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Septemvri Simitli | Kostinbrod |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 31 | 30 |
| Siege | 16 | 12 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 13 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Gegentore | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
1. Aug. 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod
2:0
16. Mai 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod
4:1
1. Nov. 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli
2:3
25. Mai 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Kostinbrod
0:0
11. Nov. 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Simitli
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Septemvri Simitli 85 / 100
Kostinbrod 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Septemvri Simitli Kostinbrod
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp SEP Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Solid form: Septemvri Simitli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Septemvri Simitli found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Kostinbrod has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Tor-Trends
Septemvri Simitli VS Kostinbrod
1.75 Erzielte Tore 0.75
0.75 Kassierte Tore 1.75
63% Über 1.5 75%
50% Über 2.5 50%
25% Über 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Simitli
(Home) 01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3 Septemvri Simitli
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0 Septemvri Simitli
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
02 May
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 2 Rilski Sportist
16 Apr
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 2 Strumska Slava
Page 1 of 3
Kostinbrod
(Away) 01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
23 May
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Levski Sofia II
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
09 May
Kostinbrod
1 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
03 May
Slavia Sofia 2
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
22 Apr
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
