Sport Tipps
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
Spielzusammenfassung
Septemvri Simitli in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Simitli.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Septemvri Simitli
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Form's been kind to Septemvri Simitli lately — more wins on the board than Slivnishki Geroy.
- Model gives Septemvri Simitli a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 19%
Über 4.5 Tore 9%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 69.4%
Septemvri Simitli Ohne Gegentor 20%
Slivnishki Geroy Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Septemvri Simitli | Slivnishki Geroy |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 30 |
| Siege | 15 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 3 | 7 |
| Niederlagen | 12 | 14 |
| Erzielte Tore | 2 | 1.13 |
| Gegentore | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
29. Nov. 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:1
9. Aug. 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
15. März 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
24. Aug. 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:3
24. Feb. 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Septemvri Simitli 85 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Septemvri Simitli Slivnishki Geroy
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp SEP Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Septemvri Simitli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Septemvri Simitli's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Slivnishki Geroy conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Tor-Trends
Septemvri Simitli VS Slivnishki Geroy
2 Erzielte Tore 1.13
0.75 Kassierte Tore 1.38
75% Über 1.5 88%
63% Über 2.5 63%
25% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Simitli
(Home) 01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3 Septemvri Simitli
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0 Septemvri Simitli
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
02 May
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 2 Rilski Sportist
16 Apr
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 2 Strumska Slava
Page 1 of 3
Slivnishki Geroy
(Away) 01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
30 May
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Slavia Sofia 2
23 May
Kyustendil
0 : 0 Slivnishki Geroy
16 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 1 Septemvri Sofia 2
09 May
Kostinbrod
1 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
23 May
Kyustendil
0 : 0 Slivnishki Geroy
09 May
Kostinbrod
1 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
25 Apr
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
09 Apr
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Slivnishki Geroy
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
