Sport Tipps
Septemvri Simitli vs Velbazhd
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2018/2019 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
Spielzusammenfassung
Septemvri Simitli in this Third League - South-West 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Simitli.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Septemvri Simitli
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Septemvri Simitli have won more games recently than Velbazhd.
- Model gives Septemvri Simitli a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 0%
Über 4.5 Tore 0%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 65.8%
Septemvri Simitli Ohne Gegentor 20%
Velbazhd Ohne Gegentor 15%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Septemvri Simitli | Velbazhd |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 34 | 30 |
| Siege | 19 | 4 |
| Unentschieden | 4 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 11 | 22 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.59 | 0.5 |
| Gegentore | 1.03 | 2.33 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
30. März 2019 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Velbazhd
2:1
15. Sept. 2018 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
8. Apr. 2017 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
25. Sept. 2016 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Velbazhd
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Septemvri Simitli 85 / 100
Velbazhd 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Septemvri Simitli Velbazhd
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp SEP Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Solid form: Septemvri Simitli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Velbazhd lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Septemvri Simitli scored in 74% of their last 34 games.
Velbazhd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Tor-Trends
Septemvri Simitli VS -
0.75 Erzielte Tore 0
0.88 Kassierte Tore 0
50% Über 1.5 0%
13% Über 2.5 0%
0% Über 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Simitli
(Home) 08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3 Septemvri Simitli
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0 Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 7
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kyustendil
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
02 May
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 2 Rilski Sportist
16 Apr
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 2 Strumska Slava
Page 1 of 3
Velbazhd
(Away) 29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1 Velbazhd
22 May
Velbazhd
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0 Velbazhd
12 May
Velbazhd
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0 Velbazhd
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1 Velbazhd
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0 Velbazhd
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0 Velbazhd
24 Apr
Levski Chepintsi
2 : 1 Velbazhd
10 Apr
Bansko
1 : 0 Velbazhd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebar | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 73:19 | 90 |
| 2 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 60:27 | 75 |
| 3 | Vihren | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Bansko | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 60:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Minyor Pernik | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 57:37 | 56 |
| 7 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:35 | 49 |
| 8 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:42 | 46 |
| 9 | Belasitsa Petrich | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Chavdar Etropole | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Marek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:57 | 38 |
| 14 | Nadezhda Dobroslavci | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:61 | 38 |
| 15 | Svoge | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 45:61 | 37 |
| 16 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 10 | 2 | 22 | 35:75 | 32 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 36:70 | 30 |
| 18 | Velbazhd | 34 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 22:89 | 11 |
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