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Shakhtar vs Dynamo Kyiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Ukrainian Cup
Di., 27. Okt. 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Shakhtar at 2.15 goals for, 0.78 against; Dynamo Kyiv at 1.52 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, Shakhtar have won 3 to Dynamo Kyiv's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 3. Mai 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.69) point toward Shakhtar. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

40%
Shakhtar
33%
Unentschieden
27%
Dynamo Kyiv
Unentschieden-Quote: 33% Favorit: Shakhtar

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

70% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Form's been kind to Shakhtar lately — more wins on the board than Dynamo Kyiv.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Shakhtar taking it.
  • Shakhtar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Shakhtar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 13%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 71.4%
Shakhtar Ohne Gegentor 20%
Dynamo Kyiv Ohne Gegentor 10%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Shakhtar Dynamo Kyiv
Spiele 27 27
Siege 19 16
Unentschieden 4 4
Niederlagen 4 7
Erzielte Tore 2.15 1.52
Gegentore 0.78 1.07
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.63 0.69
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

3. Mai 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar
1:2
2. Nov. 2025 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Dynamo Kyiv
3:1
29. Okt. 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar
2:1
14. Mai 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Shakhtar vs Dynamo Kyiv
2:1
27. Apr. 2025 Premier League
Shakhtar vs Dynamo Kyiv
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Shakhtar 40 / 100
Dynamo Kyiv 26 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Shakhtar Dynamo Kyiv

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Shakhtar Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Shakhtar found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Shakhtar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dynamo Kyiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Tor-Trends

Shakhtar VS Dynamo Kyiv
2.5 Erzielte Tore 1
0.38 Kassierte Tore 0.75
100% Über 1.5 50%
75% Über 2.5 38%
13% Über 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Shakhtar

(Home)
17 Oct
Shakhtar
2 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka
14 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 1
AEK
09 Oct
Veres Rivne
0 : 3
Shakhtar
02 Oct
Shakhtar
3 : 0
Kryvbas
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Kyiv

(Away)
18 Oct
Polissya Zhytomyr
3 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
11 Oct
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0
Karpaty Lviv
19 Sept
Zorya
0 : 2
Dynamo Kyiv
14 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
3 : 0
Epitsentr
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ch. Odesa 0
FC Vilkhivtsi 1
TBD -
Shakhtar -
Nyva Vinnytsya 3
Rukh Lviv 2
Dynamo Kyiv -
TBD -
Bukovyna 4
Nyva Ternopil 0
TBD -
LNZ Cherkasy -
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1
Victoria 3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Kolos Polonne 1
Trostyanets 2
LSTM Lutsk 1
FC Chernihiv 2
Karbon Cherkasy 1
Pokuttia Kolomyia 0
Epitsentr 2
To4ka Odessa 1
TBD -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Lozova 1
Kudrivka 6
Novyi Rozdil 2
Atlet Kiev 1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 2
Vilkhivtsi Ivano Frankivsk 1
Mayak Sarny 1
SC Poltava 0
Druzhba-Kozaky 3
Bazys Kochubiyivka 5
Reshetylivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4
FC Kharkiv 9
Kalynivka 0
Dinaz Vyshgorod 0
Fenix Mariupol 6
Skala 1911 0
Zorya 6
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 1
Olympia Savyntsi 2
Kryvbas 3
Rokyta 0
Kolos Kovalivka 3
UCSA 0
Karpaty Lviv 2
Obolon 0
Lokomotyv Kyiv 1
Probiy Horodenka 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia 0
Oleksandriya 2
Rebel Kyiv 0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4
Dnister Zalishchyky 0
Livyi Bereg 3
Kulikiv 2
Palmira Odesa 1
Veres Rivne 4
Inhulets 1
1/16-finals
FC Vilkhivtsi 0
Shakhtar 3
Nyva Vinnytsya 0
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Bukovyna 0
LNZ Cherkasy 1
Victoria 0
Metalist Kharkiv 1
Trostyanets 2
FC Chernihiv 4
Karbon Cherkasy 0
Epitsentr 3
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Kudrivka 0
Novyi Rozdil 3
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka 1
Mayak Sarny 4
Bazys Kochubiyivka 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 0
FC Kharkiv 2
Fenix Mariupol 0
Zorya 2
Olympia Savyntsi 0
Kryvbas 2
Kolos Kovalivka 2
Karpaty Lviv 3
Probiy Horodenka 1
Oleksandriya 2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1
Livyi Bereg 2
Kulikiv 0
Veres Rivne 1
1/8-finals
Shakhtar -
Dynamo Kyiv -
LNZ Cherkasy -
Metalist Kharkiv -
FC Chernihiv -
Epitsentr -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
Novyi Rozdil -
Mayak Sarny -
FC Kharkiv -
Zorya -
Kryvbas -
Karpaty Lviv -
Oleksandriya -
Livyi Bereg -
Veres Rivne -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -