Sport Tipps
Shkumbini Peqin vs Terbuni Puka
Albania
First Division 2021/2022 
Spielzusammenfassung
Terbuni Puka is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Shkumbini Peqin, backed by a win probability of 57%. Shkumbini Peqin averages 0.8 goals scored and 3.0 conceded in recent matches. Terbuni Puka shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Shkumbini Peqin, 2 wins for Terbuni Puka, and 3 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.02.22 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.83 for Shkumbini Peqin and 2.35 for Terbuni Puka, suggesting the primary value lies in the Terbuni Puka double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Shkumbini Peqin hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Terbuni Puka.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.83 vs. 2.35 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 62%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Shkumbini Peqin | Terbuni Puka |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 30 | 31 |
| Siege | 2 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 2 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 26 | 18 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.77 | 0.84 |
| Gegentore | 2.97 | 1.81 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 0.67 | 0.38 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 4.33 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Shkumbini Peqin
Terbuni Puka
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Shkumbini Peqin Vergleich
Terbuni Puka Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Terbuni Puka will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Shkumbini Peqin will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Terbuni Puka's early runs.
Expect Terbuni Puka to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Shkumbini Peqin tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Terbuni Puka increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Shkumbini Peqin's defense, opening up opportunities for Terbuni Puka's forward line.
Expect Terbuni Puka to manage the closing stages, while Shkumbini Peqin searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Shkumbini Peqin have found the net in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Terbuni Puka have conceded at least one goal in 84% of their last 31 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.40 goals per match.
Shkumbini Peqin remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Terbuni Puka suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bylis | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 51:18 | 69 |
| 2 | Erzeni Shijak | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 57:18 | 67 |
| 3 | Korabi Peshkopi | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 35:22 | 59 |
| 4 | Apolonia Fier | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 44:25 | 51 |
| 5 | Terbuni Puka | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 21:16 | 47 |
| 6 | Tomori Berat | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 45:31 | 44 |
| 7 | Lushnja | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 31:27 | 42 |
| 8 | Burreli | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 30:24 | 41 |
| 9 | Besa Kavaje | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 36:40 | 40 |
| 10 | Beselidhja Lezha | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 45:54 | 39 |
| 11 | Pogradeci | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 12 | Turbina Cerrik | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 31:44 | 37 |
| 13 | Butrinti Sarande | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:36 | 34 |
| 14 | Maliqi | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
| 15 | Vora | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 32:54 | 21 |
| 16 | Shkumbini Peqin | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 30:76 | 18 |