Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Samgurali is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Shukura, backed by a win probability of 62%. Shukura averages 1.1 goals scored and 3.5 conceded in recent matches. Samgurali shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Shukura, 3 wins for Samgurali, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 08.10.23 ended in a 5:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.29 for Shukura and 1.05 for Samgurali, suggesting the primary value lies in the Samgurali double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Shukura hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Samgurali.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.29 vs. 1.05 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 76%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Shukura | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 33 |
| Siege | 2 | 13 |
| Unentschieden | 6 | 8 |
| Niederlagen | 21 | 12 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.1 | 1.73 |
| Gegentore | 3.52 | 1.48 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Shukura
Samgurali
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Shukura Vergleich
Samgurali Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Samgurali will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Shukura will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Samgurali's early runs.
Expect Samgurali to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Shukura tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Samgurali increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Shukura's defense, opening up opportunities for Samgurali's forward line.
Expect Samgurali to manage the closing stages, while Shukura searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Shukura have found the net in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Samgurali have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 33 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 4.40 goals per match.
Shukura remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Samgurali suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 36 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 83:41 | 74 |
| 2 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 93:49 | 71 |
| 3 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 55:37 | 60 |
| 4 | Dila Gori | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 56:39 | 60 |
| 5 | Samgurali | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 53:51 | 57 |
| 6 | Iberia 1999 | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58:49 | 51 |
| 7 | Gagra | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 47:65 | 38 |
| 8 | Telavi | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 34:62 | 37 |
| 9 | Samtredia | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 50:62 | 33 |
| 10 | Shukura | 36 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 38:112 | 11 |