Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
Simba in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
60%
22%
18%
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Simba
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
82%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Tshinkunku have won more games recently than Simba.
- Simba are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 56.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 25%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 65.4%
Simba Ohne Gegentor 18%
Tshinkunku Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Simba | Tshinkunku |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 31 | 30 |
| Siege | 6 | 7 |
| Unentschieden | 11 | 10 |
| Niederlagen | 14 | 13 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| Gegentore | 1.16 | 1.37 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
4. März 2026 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Simba
1:1
7. Dez. 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tshinkunku
2:1
24. Feb. 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tshinkunku
1:0
21. Nov. 2024 Ligue 1
Simba vs Tshinkunku
0:0
30. Okt. 2024 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Simba
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Simba 58 / 100
Tshinkunku 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Simba Tshinkunku
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Simba Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Tshinkunku has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Simba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Tshinkunku registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Simba scored in 45% of their last 31 games.
Tor-Trends
Simba VS Tshinkunku
0.63 Erzielte Tore 1.5
1.13 Kassierte Tore 3
50% Über 1.5 100%
13% Über 2.5 100%
13% Über 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Simba
(Home) 22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0 Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0 AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0 Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0 AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 4
Tshinkunku
(Away) 15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2 Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1 Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2 Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1 Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
11 Feb
Tshikas
0 : 1 Tshinkunku
01 Feb
Saint-Luc
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
